Good Morning, RVA

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🌿 Good morning, RVA: RVAgreen 2050, pedestrian bridges, and gardening tips

Good morning, RVA! It’s 32 °F, and, after the sun comes up, temperatures should return to the previously scheduled springlike 60s. The next couple of days look even warmer, too, with weekend highs forecast in this upper 80s. I’m stoked!
 

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Big news! A draft of Richmond’s climate action plan, RVAgreen 2050, is ready for public review and input (full, 190-page PDF right here). The plan lays out 49 strategies to reduce the City’s greenhouse gas emissions by 45% by 2030. Those strategies range from urban agriculture to fleet electrification to eliminating single-use plastics and are bucketed into a couple big categories: Buildings & energy, community, enviornment, transportation & mobility, and waste reduction & recovery. Scroll all the way down to page 88 to dive into the specifics of each strategy—but block out some time since there’s a lot to take in! Because the entire RVAgreen process has been very focused on community input and engagement, they’ve also launched a Community Sustainability survey that they hope to run annually to track your own neighborhood’s climate resilience. Looks like you’ve now got a like of climate-related homework to do, and you’ve got until June 19th to do it!
 

Mike Platania at Richmond BizSense reports on the death of my dream to build a mountain bike skills course in the wooded lot adjacent to Movieland. A D.C. developer has officially bought the property and plans to build a five-story, 375-unit apartment building with, gasp, 415 parking spaces. This proposed development sits within the area addressed by the Greater Scott’s Addition small area plan, which lays out a crescent of green space stretching right through the property. Maybe we can swap, like, half of those surface-level parking spots for some sort of trail or path or mini mountain bike skills course? Just spitballing.
 

#657
April 20, 2022
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😷 Good morning, RVA: Masks on transit, zero-fare buses?, and budget amendments

Good morning, RVA! It’s 37 °F, and there’s a dang freeze warning in effect tonight through 9:00 AM tomorrow morning. Today, you can expect highs in the mid 50s, but tonight temperatures could dip below freezing and threaten all the hard work you put in to your spring plantings. Again: Good luck, outside plants!
 

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Alright, it’s Tuesday, and while the CDC’s COVID-19 Community Level is low across the region, case rates have crept upwards over the last couple of weeks. Currently, the seven day average of cases per 100,000 people in Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield is 152, 123, and 84 respectively—with all localities seeing increases over the last week. Once those case rate numbers pass 200 per 100,000, we’ll start to see localities in our region flip to yellow (or medium) on the CDC’s map. Meanwhile, as cases increase across the country, a federal judge in Florida struck down the mask requirement on public transportation. The NYT reports in the aforelinked article that “the ruling left it up to individual airlines and local transit agencies to decide what to do, and by late Monday, the nation’s largest airlines had dropped their mask requirements for domestic flights.” If you want to search them out, there are some pretty gross videos floating around of airline employees and passengers gleefully celebrating the end of the mandate mid-flight—sometimes with cheers and song. Vomit. This decision applies not only to planes, which I don’t have a lot of feelings on, but also buses, which provide essential transportation to millions of workers every day—and, at least in Richmond, to mostly folks with lower incomes. We’ll have to wait and see how GRTC decides to move forward with masks, but remember: You can totally keep wearing your own mask, and there are lots of great reasons other folks may want to stay masked. Maybe someone lives with a person who can’t get vaccinated (like a baby!) or spends a lot of time with an older, immunocompromised person (like grandma!). Maybe they just don’t want to inhale other folks' germs, COVID or otherwise.
 

Wyatt Gordon at Greater Greater Washington has an absolutely fascinating article about the future of the Mayor’s promise to keep GRTC fare-free in Richmond. Some background: The money to subsidize Richmond’s zero-fare program comes from a Department of Rail and Transportation grant which requires a $1 million match. Turns out, none of that $1 million is included in the Mayor’s proposed budget, despite several very public statements in support of zero fares, like this one: “As long as I am Mayor of @CityRichmondVA, I pledge to maintain fare-free @GRTCTransit in the City!” Seems bad, but I imagine the Mayor and his administration don’t feel like it’s solely Richmond’s responsibility to subsidize free fares for the entire region. Instead, Gordon reports that “City officials insist GRTC should fill the $1 million gap itself using federal funds leftover from the initial pandemic response, but such a move would be considered an increase to the transit provider’s budget and thus require the approval of GRTC’s full board.” This isn’t the worst idea, but it doesn’t seem sustainable and feels like it’s setting GRTC up to cover the ever-increasing costs of free fares (which means the transit agency will be able to provide less and less frequent service, one of the arguments I originally made against moving the system entirely fare-free). As of today, GRTC’s board includes, for the first time, representatives from Henrico, and, as of last night, includes Richmond’s CAO Lincoln Saunders. I think it’s a pretty safe bet that the newly comprised Board will vote to cover the million bucks, thus saving localities from doing so. But what happens when the required match increases to $3 million and then $5 million? Who will pay for that? Localities? GRTC? Will we spend even more of the CVTA’s money, which was intended to bring fast, frequent, and reliable transit to the entire region? You can watch the GRTC Board’s discussion over on their YouTube at 8:00 AM.
 

#822
April 19, 2022
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🎹 Good morning, RVA: Two fun Council updates, regional transportation money, and voicing an organ

Good morning, RVA! It’s 45 °F, and a bunch of cold weather and rain has snuck back in to our weekly forecast. Today, expect highs right around 50 °F with a significant amount of rain later this afternoon—bundle up a bit if you’re headed outside. Meanwhile, lows tonight and tomorrow night dip down into the 30s! Good luck, outside plants!
 

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I’ve got two fun City Council updates for you this Monday morning. First, Council will meet for Amendment Session #1 today at 1:00 PM. Amendment Session #1 is great because you get to see and hear where each individual councilperson’s priorities differ from the Mayor’s priorities. Sometimes those differences can mean multi-million dollar amendments, but, usually, they manifest in small amendments that are much easier to fund with similarly small budget cuts (or fee increases). Subsequent amendment sessions are usually tense affairs where Council really gets into the business of finding ways to fund nine different people’s different priorities all while trying to avoid making huge, cascading changes to the Mayor’s budget. See? Fun! I can’t find any of the submitted amendments on the City’s legislative website yet, but I imagine they’ll show up later today or tomorrow. Second, Planning Commission will meet today and consider ORD. 2022–112, the ordinance which will transfer money to RPS for designing an 1,800-seat replacement for George Wythe High School. That ordinance sits on the consent agenda, so it should pass without much comment—I don’t imagine the Planning Commission has any desire at all to get stuck in the middle of that whole situation.
 

Jonathan Spiers at Richmond BizSense sat down with Maritza Pechin, the City’s Deputy director for the Office of Equitable Development, to talk about the Diamond District redevelopment project. Tap through for a bit of Pechin’s history before working for the City, but make sure you read her thoughts on Council’s laundry list of confusing changes to Richmond 300 (RES. 2021-R026, which pops back up on Council’s agenda on April 25th). I’ll spoil it for you a bit, though: “But a lot of council’s concerns that came up through their amendment requests are either related to things that are fundamentally not in a master plan – things that you wouldn’t include in a big land-use master plan document, that’s either way too specific or completely out of scope – or they’re things that will get done via implementation.” Agree!
 

#1029
April 18, 2022
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🦚 Good morning, RVA: Bad news for news, flex posts, and a book festival

Good morning, RVA! It’s 49 °F, and it rained! I haven’t been outside yet this morning, but I’m just going to confidently assume that the gritty yellow coating layered atop every outdoor surface has been washed clean. The willow oaks on my street have almost dropped all of their pollen, so I think we might be close to the end of the The Pollening and ready to move on to Actual Spring! For me, that means spending an infinite amount of time on my screen porch. I’m stoked. As for this weekend, the weather looks decidedly springlike with highs in the 60s and a bit of a chance of rain at some point on Saturday. Enjoy!
 

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Bad news at the Richmond Times-Dispatch: The Richmond Newspapers Professional Association (the labor union representing RTD reporters), says Lee Enterprises laid off three “top editors” yesterday. According to former RTD reporter Kenya Hunter, one of those was Lisa Vernon Sparks, one of two Black opinion writers at the paper and the only Black opinion editor. Another former employee, Katy Evans, posted this ominous tweet: “@RTDNEWS staff seeking answers today after more layoffs…[they] were told @LeeEntNews ordered cuts last week, w/no biz justification. ‘I can’t defend this,’ one leader said.” The RTD has lost reporters covering food, education, and housing all within the last couple of months. The current “above-the-fold” section of the front page features three stories about sports, two about weather, a story out of Hanover, and a story covering a CNBC story about the governor. In reading the paper every single day, to me, an outside observer, the last couple of months have seen a dramatic and bleak shift away from the really stellar work done over the course of 2020. It’s not just me, either. Current reporter Sabrina Moreno sums it up with this: “I’m really mourning how we had a brief moment where so many of us got a glimpse of what this paper could be, and then it collapsed within months.” You can feel whatever way you want about the RTD, but we’re undeniably a way worse town without lots of committed, supported, full-time local reporters—real reporters, not people with online newsletters having opinions!
 

Related, in as much as it doesn’t take a skilled editor to throw together pictures from the archive, the Richmond Times-Dispatch put together a bunch of photos of Mayo Island over the years. First, check out the header image which gives you a great view into Manchester before the last decade’s flood of apartments—looks like a totally different place. Second, I still think the City should buy the island and turn it into public space. Maybe some rich, urbanist benefactor could pay for half? Just spitballing here!
 

#665
April 15, 2022
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🚲🚌 Good morning, RVA: Homelessness solutions, the Diamond District, and Semmes Avenue

Good morning, RVA! It’s already 69 °F out there! Today you can expect more of those warm temperatures, and then a pretty decent chance for storms this afternoon. Cooler temperatures move in overnight, but the rest of the week still looks pretty lovely to me.
 

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Meg Schiffres at VPM reports on the complex situation for folks experiencing homelessness. The City’s inclement weather shelter will close tomorrow (it only operates in the fall and winter), and the CARES Act-funded non-congregate shelter will close later this month as that funding expires. This leaves the region’s existing, and already taxed, emergency shelters to try and make space for a couple hundred extra people. Thankfully, Commonwealth Catholic Charities, who run the non-congregate shelter, has “helped a little under half of those staying at the non-congregate shelter find alternative emergency housing options.” Also, I appreciate Schiffres specifically comparing the cost of keeping the shelter running through October ($265,980) to the size of the Richmond Police Department’s budget ($110 million dollars). I haven’t read through the entire thing, but the fourth bullet point in the City’s Strategic Plan to End Homelessness is “Increase financial support to the City’s registered homeless providers to ensure supportive services are available to every homeless person.” This is why budgets are awesome and important: They make your city’s values extremely clear.
 

Richmond BizSense’s Jonathan Spiers has some new information on one of the groups competing to redevelop the Diamond District. I thought this quote from the developer was pretty good: “One of the things that’s interesting about the Diamond District is that at its scale, it presents some interesting opportunities for district-wide infrastructure solutions. Things like geothermal or (photovoltaic) array or district cooling.” Whoa! You know that, personally, I’m most excited to see what these teams come up with to help rebuild that neighborhood’s infrastructure. And we shouldn’t have to wait too much longer to know more about what each of the six development teams have proposed, either, as they’ve got an April 25th deadline to get the City more information.
 

#562
April 14, 2022
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🐀 Good morning, RVA: Unplanned zoning explainer, ads from the 80s, and buying an island

Good morning, RVA! It’s 64 °F, and today looks great. You can expect another day with highs in the 80s! The 80s! Looks like tomorrow has some rain in store for us, which I’m not too broken up about because it might help wash away some of this pollen that coats every single surface.
 

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Tonight at 6:00 PM, the City will hold a virtual meeting about the newly-approved City Center Innovation District and potential ideas for its rezoning. You can see the current zoning map on the aforelinked website, and, embarrassingly, I can’t seem to find the proposed zoning map. I’m sure it exists somewhere, though! You can, however, find the future land use map for this part of town on page 33 of the City Center Innovation District Small Area Plan. What’s the difference between land use and zoning? The land use is, just like the name says, how we’d like the land in that part of town to be used—in this case, mostly “downtown mixed-use” and “institutional” with a touch of “neighborhood mixed-use.” Then you can flip over to Richmond 300 to check out how Richmond defines which buildings and uses make up these broad categories with human-understandable names. For example, “downtown mixed-use” should be: “urban in form and may be of larger scale than existing context. Plazas and setbacks create an engaging street life. Many buildings are vertically mixed-use” (page 66 of this enormous PDF). Once you’ve got a nice description of what we should do with the land, we then try to apply existing zoning districts from the City’s zoning ordinance to make development of those sorts of uses legal. Maybe development that’s “larger scale than existing context” is illegal to build in parts of downtown today, so you’ve gotta change the laws to allow it. This, by the way, is where things transition from something humans can understand to something lawyers can understand. Finally, sometimes you don’t have the zoning districts you need to support the development you want, and that means creating new districts. Richmond did that semi-recently with the creation of TOD-1, or the Transit-Oriented Development district. Finally finally, if it’s been 100 years since you’ve done a KonMari deep clean on your zoning ordinance, sometimes you just need to do an entire rewrite of that thing. The City plans to do exactly that, should money stay/end up in this year’s budget. Got it? This has been you friendly, unplanned, early-morning zoning explainer!
 

For those of you looking, here’s ORD. 2022–112, the ordinance that the Mayor submitted to City Council on Monday night to transfer $7.3 million to RPS for building an 1,800-seat replacement for George Wythe High School.
 

#16
April 13, 2022
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🐀 Good morning, RVA: Unplanned zoning explainer, ads from the 80s, and buying an island

Good morning, RVA! It’s 64 °F, and today looks great. You can expect another day with highs in the 80s! The 80s! Looks like tomorrow has some rain in store for us, which I’m not too broken up about because it might help wash away some of this pollen that coats every single surface.
 

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Tonight at 6:00 PM, the City will hold a virtual meeting about the newly-approved City Center Innovation District and potential ideas for its rezoning. You can see the current zoning map on the aforelinked website, and, embarrassingly, I can’t seem to find the proposed zoning map. I’m sure it exists somewhere, though! You can, however, find the future land use map for this part of town on page 33 of the City Center Innovation District Small Area Plan. What’s the difference between land use and zoning? The land use is, just like the name says, how we’d like the land in that part of town to be used—in this case, mostly “downtown mixed-use” and “institutional” with a touch of “neighborhood mixed-use.” Then you can flip over to Richmond 300 to check out how Richmond defines which buildings and uses make up these broad categories with human-understandable names. For example, “downtown mixed-use” should be: “urban in form and may be of larger scale than existing context. Plazas and setbacks create an engaging street life. Many buildings are vertically mixed-use” (page 66 of this enormous PDF). Once you’ve got a nice description of what we should do with the land, we then try to apply existing zoning districts from the City’s zoning ordinance to make development of those sorts of uses legal. Maybe development that’s “larger scale than existing context” is illegal to build in parts of downtown today, so you’ve gotta change the laws to allow it. This, by the way, is where things transition from something humans can understand to something lawyers can understand. Finally, sometimes you don’t have the zoning districts you need to support the development you want, and that means creating new districts. Richmond did that semi-recently with the creation of TOD-1, or the Transit-Oriented Development district. Finally finally, if it’s been 100 years since you’ve done a KonMari deep clean on your zoning ordinance, sometimes you just need to do an entire rewrite of that thing. The City plans to do exactly that, should money stay/end up in this year’s budget. Got it? This has been you friendly, unplanned, early-morning zoning explainer!
 

For those of you looking, here’s ORD. 2022–112, the ordinance that the Mayor submitted to City Council on Monday night to transfer $7.3 million to RPS for building an 1,800-seat replacement for George Wythe High School.
 

#16
April 13, 2022
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🤝 Good morning, RVA: A George Wythe resolution, a citizen's agenda, and not a moderate

Good morning, RVA! It’s 60 °F, and we’ve got another lovely day ahead of us. Get yourself ready for highs in the mid 70s, some sunshine, and every reason in the world to say goodbye to your socks. Slip-ons for life! Bring on True Spring!
 

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It’s Tuesday, and the CDC’s Community Level in each of Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield is low. The Community Level in nearby Goochland, though, still sits at medium, and the case rate in Richmond and Henrico have definitely increased over the last seven days. I think it is officially time to Keep An Eye On Things™. Maybe stock up on a some masks and at-home tests if you don’t have any, just in case?
 

Yesterday morning, Mayor Levar Stoney and members of City Council put on a stern and combined press conference about replacing George Wythe High School. The Mayor offered School Board’s five-member voting bloc “one last effort at compromise,” and introduced an ordinance at last night’s City Council meeting to release the funds to design an 1,800-seat school that, if needed, could be later expanded. That paper will have a public hearing on April 25th. I can already hear your eyes rolling about what impact a press conference could possibly have over a very intent School Board. But wait! Before you get too cynical about it, check out this thread from last night’s Board meeting via @KidsFirstRPS. After 9:00 PM last night, the RPS School Board voted 5–4 in favor of an 1,800-seat George Wythe replacement (Yes: Doerr, Harris-Muhammed, Burke, Page, Jones; No: White, Gibson, Young, Rizzi), with 6th District’s Dr. Harris-Muhammed flipping her vote and finally breaking the five-member voting bloc’s hold over this process. Whew! What an exhausting couple of months! I don’t think you should take last night’s vote as any sort of sign about the dissolution of the five-member bloc, and I’m sure they’ll continue to exert their majority as we move forward in building a replacement for George Wythe. That said, I appreciate Dr. Harris-Muhammed’s decision, which I’m sure was difficult and definitely does not make her life any easier. Also, it’s so rare to see a majority of City Council and the mayor publicly on the same page like this. I love it, and I love that, together, they were able to reach a compromise to unstick this incredibly stuck process. Great work! Now on to the next thing!
 

#63
April 12, 2022
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🤝 Good morning, RVA: A George Wythe resolution, a citizen's agenda, and not a moderate

Good morning, RVA! It’s 60 °F, and we’ve got another lovely day ahead of us. Get yourself ready for highs in the mid 70s, some sunshine, and every reason in the world to say goodbye to your socks. Slip-ons for life! Bring on True Spring!
 

Water cooler

It’s Tuesday, and the CDC’s Community Level in each of Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield is low. The Community Level in nearby Goochland, though, still sits at medium, and the case rate in Richmond and Henrico have definitely increased over the last seven days. I think it is officially time to Keep An Eye On Things™. Maybe stock up on a some masks and at-home tests if you don’t have any, just in case?
 

Yesterday morning, Mayor Levar Stoney and members of City Council put on a stern and combined press conference about replacing George Wythe High School. The Mayor offered School Board’s five-member voting bloc “one last effort at compromise,” and introduced an ordinance at last night’s City Council meeting to release the funds to design an 1,800-seat school that, if needed, could be later expanded. That paper will have a public hearing on April 25th. I can already hear your eyes rolling about what impact a press conference could possibly have over a very intent School Board. But wait! Before you get too cynical about it, check out this thread from last night’s Board meeting via @KidsFirstRPS. After 9:00 PM last night, the RPS School Board voted 5–4 in favor of an 1,800-seat George Wythe replacement (Yes: Doerr, Harris-Muhammed, Burke, Page, Jones; No: White, Gibson, Young, Rizzi), with 6th District’s Dr. Harris-Muhammed flipping her vote and finally breaking the five-member voting bloc’s hold over this process. Whew! What an exhausting couple of months! I don’t think you should take last night’s vote as any sort of sign about the dissolution of the five-member bloc, and I’m sure they’ll continue to exert their majority as we move forward in building a replacement for George Wythe. That said, I appreciate Dr. Harris-Muhammed’s decision, which I’m sure was difficult and definitely does not make her life any easier. Also, it’s so rare to see a majority of City Council and the mayor publicly on the same page like this. I love it, and I love that, together, they were able to reach a compromise to unstick this incredibly stuck process. Great work! Now on to the next thing!
 

#63
April 12, 2022
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🗳 Good morning, RVA: The Big Broad Street Repaving starts today, ranked-choice voting, and doublethink

Good morning, RVA! It’s 38 °F, but the rest of today looks amazing. Expect highs in the 70s and, if you have a virtual meeting this afternoon, at least one person taking the call from their patio. This entire week looks warm and wonderful, with a possible chance for rain on Thursday. Enjoy!
 

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Today’s the day! Crews will begin repaving Broad Street and won’t stop until some time later this summer. This will be intense! From the release: “Paving will be a 24-hour operation, starting at 6 p.m. on Sundays and ending at 6 p.m. on Fridays and there will be some complete street closures.” If you’ve got to get around downtown—regardless of your mode of transportation—build in some extra time, especially these first couple of days as folks sort out what the heck is going on. As you can imagine, this paving project majorly impacts the bus system, Pulse included. GRTC has a list of detours and temporary stops up on their website, and the good news that Grace & 2nd, Grace & Adams, and Grace & Monroe will function as temporary stops for the Pulse. Good luck everyone, and remember to be a extra patient with the people in your life who may have to figure out new travel routines this week!
 

City Council has a packed schedule this afternoon, with a budget session focusing on parks and the City’s revenue, an informal meeting, and then a formal meeting that includes a public hearing on the proposed redistricting map. Even with all that other stuff going on, I want to point out two things from the regular part of Council’s regular meeting. First, they’ll (theoretically) consider the confusing laundry list of amendments to Richmond 300—RES. 2021-R026, which, by the way, was introduced 350 days ago. I imagine they’ll just continue this once again, but I did want to flag it. Second, Councilmember Jordan will introduce an ordinance to implement ranked-choice voting for the 2024 City Council Elections. I am very excited about this and pretty sure ranked-choice voting would have altered the outcome of at least a couple recent local elections. However, I don’t have a good sense for how some of the more…established…members of Council will feel about this sizable change in process. There might be a bit of an advocacy lift required to get them to consider it seriously. Jordan says that the Governmental Operations committee will discuss the paper on April 27th, so tune in then to get a lay of the land.
 

#732
April 11, 2022
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🥒 Good morning, RVA: Strategic CIP, a new bikeshare station, and pickelball

Good morning, RVA! It’s 52 °F, and how nice was yesterday?! Today, though, you can expect highs in the mid 60s and a chance for storms most of the day. Stay dry, stay safe, and keep an eye on your weather app of choice!
 

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Pulitzer Prize Winner Michael Paul Williams reports on a really interesting governance situation at Montpelier, the estate of James Madison, fourth president and enslaver of hundreds of people. I had no idea but, “Montpelier, the estate of James Madison, became the toast of the museum world with a June 2021 board restructuring that gave descendants of the enslaved there ‘structural parity’ on its foundation’s board.” Sounds like a really bold and progressive move that was maybe a little too bold and progressive for the board, who has since dialed back some of that structural parity. Williams puts it this way: “French and others describe an insular foundation board at a crossroads of inclusion and national acclaim, uncomfortable at taking the next step. Montpelier was poised to stand out. Now it’s standing out for all the wrong reasons. The board has a choice: It can engage in true power-sharing with the descendants of the enslaved in modeling an expansive vision. Or it can maintain an exclusionary death grip on a diminished institution.”
 

I took advantage of yesterday’s amazing weather to ride my bike around the 1st District while listening to City Council budget sessions four through six. I’m here to officially recommend you give the sixth session a listen—especially Director of Budget and Strategic Planning Jason May’s walkthrough of the Capital Improvement Plan. May replaces previous director Jay Brown (also one of my favorite budget season characters), and has only been with the City since 2019 so you may not yet have had a chance to hear from him. He delivers a clear, straightforward look at not only how the CIP works but how it should work. You can flip through his slides here, but I’ll tell you right now that the presentation is magnitudes better than the slides. It’s refreshing to hear someone speak plainly on the decades of deferred maintenance in the City and the strategic, long-term invests we need to make to address them. I feel a little inspired!
 

#400
April 7, 2022
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📲 Good morning, RVA: Cell phone tracking, Advocate of the Year, and library cards

Good morning, RVA! It’s 60 °F, and the day ahead of us looks pretty great. Expect highs in the 70s, some sunshine, and not much chance of rain until tomorrow morning. Today looks like the best day of the week, and maybe the best day until Monday! I hope you can find the time to get out there and enjoy it!
 

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Ned Oliver at the Virginia Mercury has an interesting/terrifying report about the use of cell phone tracking by Virginia’s police departments. From the piece: “At least nine of the 18 police departments sampled track cell phones, but how frequently varied considerably by department. At the high end, Chesterfield accounted for 4,500 days of tracking and 346 warrants, while Norfolk Police, at the low end, reported 63 days of tracking across six warrants.” Police must get a warrant to track a phone’s location, but it sounds like, in practice, that’s not particularly challenging. Also interesting, Verizon charges just $200 for a month for secretly tracking a customer’s phone, while AT&T charges $850.
 

Last week, I linked to this really inspiring Henrico Draft Bike Lanes map, which is part of the County’s update to their Comprehensive Plan. Today, I want to link to this public engagement survey where Henrico residents can leave feedback on the long term future of the County. I flipped through the survey (but didn’t submit since I don’t live in Henrico), and found this extremely fascinating map of where respondents think the County should protect, change, grow housing, grow employment, invest, and focus on transportation. Almost every transportation pin sits in the western part of the county, every “protect” pin in the eastern part, and most of the housing pins encircle the City. I’m not sure what it means, but it’s a striking map. Anyway, Henrico runs fast and tight with their public engagement processes, so if you’re a resident you should definitely take advantage of this opportunity to weigh in! You’ve got until April 22nd to do so.
 

#509
April 6, 2022
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🐍 Good morning, RVA: Wastewater is cool, state budget, sweetgum spikey fruit

Good morning, RVA! It’s 51 °F, and we’ve got a warm day ahead of us. Expect highs in the 70s and a skinny chance of rain—mostly later in the afternoon. If today looks good, tomorrow looks fantastic. Enjoy!
 

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It’s Tuesday, and the COVID-19 Community Level is LOW for Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield. In fact, most of Virginia sits at the low level, with just a few counties at medium (including Powhatan County to our west). Across the country and across the commonwealth cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are all trending generally downward. Personally, I think it’s a great time to take advantage of the lower risk levels to get out there and do some stuff…because those risk levels—and the amount of disease spreading around in our communities—are bound to change. To that point, here’s last week’s State of Affairs post from Katelyn Jetelina, which mostly focuses on the rise of BA.2 across Europe and its possible impact on the United States. Jetelina also links to this fun(?) wastewater monitoring website which does show an increase in COVID-19 detected in wastewater pretty much everywhere. As you can see from the graphs, using wastewater surveillance to detect COVID-19 can act as an early indicator to actual cases of COVID-19. So, given the increases, will we soon see another coronawave? A coronaplateau? Some other coronashape? We’ll have to wait and watch, unfortunately. Anyway, aside from the deadly disease aspect of things, wastewater surveillance is pretty neat and useful stuff, plus it’s sewer-adjacent so you know I love it. P.S. Caveat to the aforelinked site: I have no idea where their data comes from and which cities participate, but you can find the CDC’s wastewater surveillance data here if you want to poke around.
 

I don’t know that I’m smart enough to understand what’s going on with the state’s budget! Patrick Wilson and Michael Martz at the Richmond Times-Dispatch have this General Assembly update from yesterday’s Special Session, and it sounds like budget negotiators from either side are generally optimistic? I dunno. The Governor’s still out there trying to roll back the gas tax despite he himself acknowledging that there’s no guarantee the tax cut will actually save anyone any money, and that sounds like one of the major remaining political sticking points. Democratic Leader Eileen Fill-Corn was certainly unhappy with the situation, though, that’s for sure. I guess we’ll learn more later this week?
 

#1061
April 5, 2022
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🧠 Good morning, RVA: GW updates from councilpeople, budget sessions continue, and Richmond in 1970

Good morning, RVA! It’s 34 °F, and it looks like today will continue this weekend’s springlike temperatures. Enjoy highs in the 60s while we wait for warmer weather over the next couple of days. We’ve got a couple chances for rain this week, so make sure you find the time to get outside!
 

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Whoa, you are definitely going to want to set aside some time this morning to read 5th District Councilmember Stephanie Lynch’s take on the whole George Wythe situation in her newsletter and accompanying memo. The memo in particular has a great timeline of the decisions made up to this point and a bunch of facts, figures, and tables illustrating how the plan to build a 2,000-seat George Wythe replacement is supported by several studies and comparable schools-building projects across the Commonwealth. First, I obviously love this kind of comprehensive explanatory work—especially from a sitting City Council member. Second, Lynch’s position is pretty thoughtful and interesting. From the newsletter: “I have voted two months in a row to transfer funds to the School Board so that we can move forward with the hopes that we can come to a compromise of 1,800 seats. I have offered many other compromise solutions as well to address concerns of financial mismanagement, (to include hiring a third-party auditor), as well as other solutions (see memo attached). As it stands, we are pushing forward with scheduled engagement sessions with community members (see schedule below) and students on what they would like to see in their new George Wythe High School - a vision that should be fully funded and supported with the resources it needs and deserves.“ So she’s clearly against building a smaller school that risks opening at capacity on day one, but she’s also willing to transfer the money to School Board (and has voted to do so). Fascinating!
 

Related, Councilmember Jordan also addressed George Wythe in her newsletter, saying, “As has been widely covered in the media, ORD. 2021–308, the paper to authorize transferal of $7 million for planning and design of a new George Wythe High School, failed to pass Monday. After voting “no” previously, I was one of the four to vote “yes.” I believe the additional public discourse and importantly, the opportunity for Council and School Board to meet in person, was worthwhile and hopefully will result in a community driven and collaborative construction process for a new and right-sized George Wythe High School. The paper can be revived at our next Council meeting, where it will again need six votes to pass. I encourage everyone following and engaging on school construction to continue paying attention, and to reach out to Council and School Board with your views.”
 

#841
April 4, 2022
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🥐 Good morning, RVA: 2nd Booster FAQ, the Director of Planning, and baklava

Good morning, RVA! It’s 57 °F, and, whoa, that was a weird weather afternoon, was it not?? I spent about an hour in my basement waiting out tornado warnings but didn’t end up with much weather at all in my part of town—for which I’m thankful! For future severe weather situations, here’s a helpful pneumonic for remembering the difference between a Watch and a Warning: Warning has more letters so its more scarier. See? So easy! Anyway, today you can expect less drama, temperatures around 60 °F, and the start of a pretty springlike weekend. Enjoy!
 

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Katelyn Jetelina, aka Your Local Epidemiologist, has a really nice Fourth Dose Q&A. The whole thing’s worth reading, but I wanted to highlight two parts. First, should you try to time your fourth dose/second booster to line up with some theoretical, future coronawave? Here’s Jetelina: “I would caution against trying to time a booster right before a wave…We know that this virus continues to mutate and a variant of concern could pop up. We also know that boosters take time to work to their full potential. Finding a timing sweet spot of boosting before a wave is possible, but potentially risky with not much added benefit.” Second, if you are or have a J&Jer in your life, scroll down to a new graph of vaccine effectiveness for various combinations of J&J mix-and-matches. One J&J dose plus one mRNA dose is 79% effective at keeping folks out of the emergency room and 78% effective at preventing hospitalization—that’s compared to 83% and 90% for three mRNA doses, respectively. Seems pretty good!
 

Today at 1:00 PM City Council will host their fifth budget work session—they’re just moving right along, aren’t they? Council will hear from Kevin Vonck, the director of Planning and Development Review, and handful of folks who handle the City’s vehicle fleet (with a focus on potential “green fleet options”). I know I always say to tune in to these sorts of things, and of course I find them all to be fascinating and worth the time, but, if you enjoy this email in any way whatsoever, you should definitely make the time to listen to the head of Planning talk through his department’s needs and priorities. That’s basically like a GMRVA bonus episode!
 

#33
April 1, 2022
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🥐 Good morning, RVA: 2nd Booster FAQ, the Director of Planning, and baklava

Good morning, RVA! It’s 57 °F, and, whoa, that was a weird weather afternoon, was it not?? I spent about an hour in my basement waiting out tornado warnings but didn’t end up with much weather at all in my part of town—for which I’m thankful! For future severe weather situations, here’s a helpful pneumonic for remembering the difference between a Watch and a Warning: Warning has more letters so its more scarier. See? So easy! Anyway, today you can expect less drama, temperatures around 60 °F, and the start of a pretty springlike weekend. Enjoy!
 

Water cooler

Katelyn Jetelina, aka Your Local Epidemiologist, has a really nice Fourth Dose Q&A. The whole thing’s worth reading, but I wanted to highlight two parts. First, should you try to time your fourth dose/second booster to line up with some theoretical, future coronawave? Here’s Jetelina: “I would caution against trying to time a booster right before a wave…We know that this virus continues to mutate and a variant of concern could pop up. We also know that boosters take time to work to their full potential. Finding a timing sweet spot of boosting before a wave is possible, but potentially risky with not much added benefit.” Second, if you are or have a J&Jer in your life, scroll down to a new graph of vaccine effectiveness for various combinations of J&J mix-and-matches. One J&J dose plus one mRNA dose is 79% effective at keeping folks out of the emergency room and 78% effective at preventing hospitalization—that’s compared to 83% and 90% for three mRNA doses, respectively. Seems pretty good!
 

Today at 1:00 PM City Council will host their fifth budget work session—they’re just moving right along, aren’t they? Council will hear from Kevin Vonck, the director of Planning and Development Review, and handful of folks who handle the City’s vehicle fleet (with a focus on potential “green fleet options”). I know I always say to tune in to these sorts of things, and of course I find them all to be fascinating and worth the time, but, if you enjoy this email in any way whatsoever, you should definitely make the time to listen to the head of Planning talk through his department’s needs and priorities. That’s basically like a GMRVA bonus episode!
 

#33
April 1, 2022
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🔟 Good morning, RVA: More boosters, a CRB side-by-side, and a 10-point guide to renaming buildings

Good morning, RVA! It’s 40 °F, and earlier this morning some “snow rain” moved through?? It is spring! Get outta here with that—especially since highs later today will settle somewhere in the 60s. Severe weather could dampen your plans tomorrow, but, after that, the end-of-the-week weather looks great.
 

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Oh, hey, that was quick: Via the New York Times, the FDA authorized “second booster shots of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna coronavirus vaccines on Tuesday for everyone 50 and older, describing the move as an effort to bolster waning immunity against severe disease in case the virus sweeps the nation again in the coming months.” The CDC then updated its guidance, allowing second boosters, which the NYT frames as less enthusiastic than the FDA’s move. CDC also has an update for J&Jers, saying “Separately and in addition, based on newly published data, adults who received a primary vaccine and booster dose of Johnson & Johnson’s Janssen COVID-19 vaccine at least 4 months ago may now receive a second booster dose using an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.” I haven’t seen what that means for folks who mix-and-matched J&J with a mRNA booster, though. The further we move down this booster path, the more complicated it gets!
 

Councilmember Addison’s 1st District email newsletter is packed with great information this month. I couldn’t figure out how to link to an online version of it, so you get this PDF printed from my inbox. First, Addison has a new liaison, Whitney Brown (who you should, of course, copy whenever you email the councilmember). You can meet Whitney at an April 5th town hall (both in-person and over Zoom). Congratulations, Whitney, and good luck! Second, Councilmember Addison lays out eight important points about replacing George Wythe High School, including his position that “I will commit to releasing the funds to School Board tomorrow with the commitment to build the school at a capacity of 2000. I cannot support funding anything less than that for our children.” I don’t envy Council’s position at the moment. It feels like Richmonders have started to transition to “I don’t care how big, just freaking build it,” which, while totally understandable, is not the way I’d prefer a decision that’ll impact the Southside for decades gets made. Third, check out this side-by-side comparison of the Council’s Civilian Review Board recommendation and the mayor’s CRB recommendation put together by City Council staff. What a useful document that answers a lot of my questions! Looking at it like this I do think they can find a reasonable middle ground—if Council wants to put in the work. Anyway, good stuff, and regardless of where you live you can subscribe to the 1st District newsletter here.
 

#984
March 30, 2022
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🟥 Good morning, RVA: Another booster?, no GW compromise, and Top 40 Under 40

Good morning, RVA! It’s 25 °F, and that’s too cold! Temperatures should figure themselves out today, with highs in the mid 40s, and then by tomorrow we should back to very springy mid 50s. I hope all of your outside plants made it through this morning’s nearly record cold temperatures! Bundle up if you’ve gotta leave the house any time soon!
 

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Today’s Tuesday and, good news, Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield still all have a LOW (aka green) COVID-19 Community Level. The all-time graphs of cases and deaths show marked decreases, and I’m sure hospitalizations would follow the same pattern if I could find that graph (here’s a national graph of hospitalizations from the New York Times instead). Things are pretty much following the same trends as they have for the past couple of weeks, which, in our case, is great. This week’s big coronanews is not about disease transmission but about vaccines: the White House may decide to recommend an additional, second booster for folks aged 50 or older. The timing for this second booster seems unclear, with the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee having a meeting on the books for April 6th but the NYT reporting that “Unlike with the first round of regulatory decisions on booster shots, no meetings of the advisory committees of either the F.D.A. or the C.D.C. are planned ahead of the decision on second boosters.” The President’s administration seems to be preparing for another summer or fall wave and wants to get ahead of it. Ugh/yikes/bleh. P.S. If you can stomach the thought of it, bookmark the CDC’s wastewater surveillance site to get an early look at any potential coronawaves.
 

The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Chris Suarez reports on City Council’s meeting last night and has the big no-news about the funding to start redesigning a replacement for George Wythe High School: “With six votes needed for the ordinance to pass, only four voted in favor of releasing the funds. City Council President Cynthia Newbille, Andreas Addison and Reva Trammell abstained from voting. Council members Ellen Robertson and Michael Jones were absent.” Which, to do the math for you, means Jordan (2nd District), Lambert (3rd District), Nye (4th District), and Lynch (5th District) voted for the ordinance. Sounds like a pretty solid deadlock, especially with six votes needed on Council and School Board Chair Shonda Harris-Muhammed informing the mayor’s administrations “that the board will not consider building an 1,800-seat school instead.” I honestly don’t know where things go from here? Maybe the money set aside for school construction in the mayor’s budget ($200 million according to Suarez) could be used to redesign George Wythe without City Council’s involvement? That’d delay the project, of course, but we’re already so far off schedule I wonder if it even matters.
 

#432
March 29, 2022
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🌊 Good morning, RVA: Under the cover of darkness, new plans, and failing dams

Good morning, RVA! It’s 53 °F, and I think the humidity from the last couple of days has passed. Today you can expect pretty consistent temperatures in the 60s and an end to the rain. Colder temperatures move in on Sunday—possibly below freezing—so good luck little spring plants!
 

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How the heck did I miss this story from Wednesday? The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Chris Suarez reports that deep into Monday night, the RPS School Board ”effectively prevented the hire of the chief wellness officer after a discussion in closed session about personnel matters that ended around midnight Monday. The board deadlocked on a 4–4 vote to approve a bloc of unspecified personnel actions.“ First, decisions made by a public body at midnight are a clear sign of dysfunction, plain and simple. Second, this issue—allowing the Superintendent to hire his COO and CWO—came up weeks ago and the public turned out to give dozens and dozens of comments in support of the Superintendent. At that meeting, the School Board’s five-member bloc acquiesced to public pressure and voted to let those hirings go forward. Apparently that decision was not made in good faith, and those members have now, under the literal cover of darkness, broken those previous promises made in public. 1st District School Boardmember Liz Doerr sums it up: “This is clear act of retaliation and harassment against the superintendent…Since several of my colleagues were not able to cut the position, they’re now going to prevent him from filling it.” I agree, and it’s hard not to see those five members—White, Gibson, Young, Rizzi, and Harris-Muhammed—as working to sabotage the Superintendent and set him up for failure…the Superintendent that they hired and gave a four-year contract extension to just last year! It makes no sense! So: If you want to express your disappointment or ask some questions about why the Board is making secret late night decisions, you can find all of their email addresses here. I’d encourage you to copy the entire board along with your City Council representative and their liaison. Then, if you’re feeling especially spicy, post a screenshot of your email to the social network of your choice and encourage others to do the same. I think it’s extremely important that more folks start paying attention to Richmond’s School Board and talking about how the way they’ve done business over the last handful of years is not normal, efficient, or even functional.
 

Eric Kolenich, also at the RTD, says VCU’s Athletic Director claims that men’s basketball ticket sales declined this past season “in large part from fans who refused to wear masks during the omicron surge.” What a disappointing take from the AD of the only program in the whole country to not play in last year’s NCAA tournament due to COVID-19 protocols. You’d think he’d know the importance of mitigation measures. I’m a VCU season ticket holder, and I can tell you that rampant spread of disease was the reason I only attended just a single game, not VCU’s commonsense mask policy!
 

#935
March 25, 2022
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🍱 Good morning, RVA: CRB updates, a basketball ad, and the future of bikes in Henrico

Good morning, RVA! It’s 66 °F, and today you can pretty much expect a repeat of yesterday: Warm, humid, and a chance for pouring rain. Grab that rain jacket before you head out the door and be prepared to get sweaty inside of it as you walk around (the absolutely worst!).
 

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The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Ali Rockett has a great update on City Council’s work to create a Civilian Review Board. Rockett reports that, “The governmental operations standing committee on Wednesday delayed until next month a paper introduced by Mayor Levar Stoney’s administration after members of a council-appointed task force, as well as members of the public, criticized the proposal, saying it ignored recommendations from the task force.” Tap through for a really helpful comparing and contrasting of the Mayor’s CRB proposal and Council’s own CRB Task Force’s proposal. Again, I’ll be really disappointed if Council put alllllll that work into coming up with their own proposal just to toss it out in favor of what the Mayor’s put together. Council at least owes the public a good-faith effort to find a compromise between the two approaches.
 

Governor Youngkin has called the General Assembly back for a special session to finish up the Commonwealth’s budget on April 4th. He did so officially via this proclamation and unofficially via this basketball ad. Graham Moomaw at the Virginia Mercury reports that, “Youngkin indicated he had not yet taken his case to Senate Democrats in private talks. But he seemed enthusiastic about his ad, which he told reporters was ‘pretty good.’ Asked about the strategy behind the unusual move of running an ad about pending budget talks, Youngkin said that, as an outsider, he came into office with different ideas about how to communicate.” I guess one of those different ideas is to just not communicate to the legislators whose votes are required to pass his budget?
 

#239
March 24, 2022
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💸 Good morning, RVA: School Board + City Council = ??, municipal debt tutorial, and Diamond District progress

Good morning, RVA! It’s 48 °F, and today looks humid, cloudy, and wet. Expect a chance of rain throughout the day—and even an opportunity for some severe storms. Bring a rain jacket with you when you walk out the door!
 

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I watched the entirety of last night’s combined School Board and City Council meeting at which they talked about the size and funding of a replacement for George Wythe High School. If you’ve got two hours, you can do so, too, over on Richmond Public Schools' YouTube (crank that thing up to 1.5x and save yourself some time, though). Basically each member of each body went around the circle and gave a quick speech about why they thought the new high school should seat 2,000 students or 1,600 students (the latter despite rising population projections and an already overflowing feeder middle school). It didn’t feel like a particularly productive meeting, and I don’t think anyone changed their mind or position. The five member voting block of the School Board made a lot of fuss about Schools having the final say on how (and how big) schools get built, but City Council—not School Board—is ultimately responsible and accountable for appropriating the money. If a too-small school gets built and opens at capacity on day one, it’s City Council who will have to find the funds to fix the problem. I sympathize with them and totally get why they’d want to have some oversight into this process—especially given how controversial seemingly every recent School Board decision has been. As for next steps, sounds like Council will again attempt to vote on releasing money for the design of a George Wythe replacement on Monday. Will it happen? Will School Board compromise on the size of the school? Who knows!
 

I’ve got two City Council updates from earlier this week! First, if you read my paragraph about municipal debt and desperately want to know more, I really recommend listening to the Council’s third budget work session. I got around to listening to it yesterday, and, dang, I learned a lot! City Council’s financial consultants do a great job of explaining how the City’s debt policies work, what they mean, and what they think the future holds. They also answered some of my questions about slide 12 of this presentation, which shows the need for upwards of $14 million of new revenue to cover the City’s debt payments just six years from now. Give it a listen yourself, but what I heard was that existing growth and new economic development could, fingers crossed, pay for these increased payments alone. “Fingers crossed” is not my favorite way to plan for the financial future of the City, and while the Mayor’s Administration believes that Casino 2.0 (and other future development) paired with a real estate tax cut will net enough to cover the payments, I still think reducing revenue right now is a really bad idea. We’ve got billions of dollars in needs, and we shouldn’t operate from such a scarcity mindset. Also, despite it reported otherwise, absolutely no one is suggesting, advocating, or even predicting that the City raise the real estate tax to cover the increase in required debt payments. Not the financial consultants, not the Mayor, not Council, and not even pro-tax people like me!
 

#161
March 23, 2022
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💸 Good morning, RVA: School Board + City Council = ??, municipal debt tutorial, and Diamond District progress

Good morning, RVA! It’s 48 °F, and today looks humid, cloudy, and wet. Expect a chance of rain throughout the day—and even an opportunity for some severe storms. Bring a rain jacket with you when you walk out the door!
 

Water cooler

I watched the entirety of last night’s combined School Board and City Council meeting at which they talked about the size and funding of a replacement for George Wythe High School. If you’ve got two hours, you can do so, too, over on Richmond Public Schools' YouTube (crank that thing up to 1.5x and save yourself some time, though). Basically each member of each body went around the circle and gave a quick speech about why they thought the new high school should seat 2,000 students or 1,600 students (the latter despite rising population projections and an already overflowing feeder middle school). It didn’t feel like a particularly productive meeting, and I don’t think anyone changed their mind or position. The five member voting block of the School Board made a lot of fuss about Schools having the final say on how (and how big) schools get built, but City Council—not School Board—is ultimately responsible and accountable for appropriating the money. If a too-small school gets built and opens at capacity on day one, it’s City Council who will have to find the funds to fix the problem. I sympathize with them and totally get why they’d want to have some oversight into this process—especially given how controversial seemingly every recent School Board decision has been. As for next steps, sounds like Council will again attempt to vote on releasing money for the design of a George Wythe replacement on Monday. Will it happen? Will School Board compromise on the size of the school? Who knows!
 

I’ve got two City Council updates from earlier this week! First, if you read my paragraph about municipal debt and desperately want to know more, I really recommend listening to the Council’s third budget work session. I got around to listening to it yesterday, and, dang, I learned a lot! City Council’s financial consultants do a great job of explaining how the City’s debt policies work, what they mean, and what they think the future holds. They also answered some of my questions about slide 12 of this presentation, which shows the need for upwards of $14 million of new revenue to cover the City’s debt payments just six years from now. Give it a listen yourself, but what I heard was that existing growth and new economic development could, fingers crossed, pay for these increased payments alone. “Fingers crossed” is not my favorite way to plan for the financial future of the City, and while the Mayor’s Administration believes that Casino 2.0 (and other future development) paired with a real estate tax cut will net enough to cover the payments, I still think reducing revenue right now is a really bad idea. We’ve got billions of dollars in needs, and we shouldn’t operate from such a scarcity mindset. Also, despite it reported otherwise, absolutely no one is suggesting, advocating, or even predicting that the City raise the real estate tax to cover the increase in required debt payments. Not the financial consultants, not the Mayor, not Council, and not even pro-tax people like me!
 

#161
March 23, 2022
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🥖 Good morning, RVA: Busy day for City Council, Monroe Ward development, and baguettes

Good morning, RVA! It’s 48 °F, and today’s weather looks amazing. Expect highs in the mid 70s, plenty of sunshine, and lots of time after work or school to wander around looking at all of the new plants popping up. Get yourself one of those plant identifier apps and learn about what’s growing in your neighborhood!
 

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I need to rethink how and what I’m looking at each Tuesday to track our coronaprogress regionally and in the Commonwealth. I don’t love focusing on just cases, although they’re way way down. The hospital graph is no longer available on the Virginia Department of Health’s data dashboard, and that dataset has too many datapoints to easily graph on Virginia’s open data website, which bums me out. You can still easily get at COVID-19 deaths, though, which is something. I guess I could start up the ol' coronacounts spreadsheet again, but that—unless I can automate the snot out of it—doesn’t sound like it’d necessarily be a good use of my time. I’ll keep thinking on it. Until then, read Katelyn Jetelina’s newest State of Affairs post about how differently the omicron subvariant (BA.2) has spread in different parts of the world. Here’s her bottom line: “BA.2 now makes up 23% of cases in the U.S. and we expect this to increase to 100% over time. We don’t know what BA.2 will look like in the U.S. We could see a second hump, like Europe, or no overall increase, like South Africa. Or, perhaps we may see an increase in only some states. (This is exactly what happened with Alpha and has my vote.)”
 

City Council has a busy day today, with a meeting of both the Public Safety and the Land Use, Housing and Transportation committees, plus a special bonus meeting of the full Council and the School Board at 6:00 PM at the Main Library to talk about, as the agenda puts it, “New George Wythe High School.” That last one should be a real page turner. As for the less dramatic meetings (maybe!) the Public Safety Committee will look at ORD. 2022–091, the Mayor’s ordinance to set up a Civilian Review Board to his own preferred specifications. This paper was technically referred to the Governmental Operations committee tomorrow, but Public Safety will also discuss it today. LUHT will host four presentations, and surely at least one will make you want to tune in: 1) Path to Equity, 2) and update on the Diamond District’s Request for Interest process, 3) North-South BRT and the Fall Line Trail, and 4) BridgePark RVA. All interesting and probably worth your time! You can tune in live or listen later on the City’s legislative website.
 

#975
March 22, 2022
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⛽️ Good morning, RVA: Municipal finance, building permits, and a reader quesiton

Good morning, RVA! It’s 36 °F, but this first day of spring looks lovely. Enjoy highs right around 70 °F, sunshine, and the start of a great week.
 

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City Council meets today at 1:00 PM for their third budget work session. This one will focus on the thrilling topic of municipal debt! Because of capitalism, the City can only borrow but so much money at a time and retain its credit rating (usually AA+ or Aa1 or some similar combination of As). With a “good” credit rating it’s cheaper for the City to borrow money and, therefore, cheaper to do big projects that require tons of cash. But, since we’re limited in how much we can borrow, debt decisions now impact future Richmond’s ability to take on new projects. For example, scroll to slide five in the aforelinked PDF to see how much of our existing debt until 2030 is soaked up by the jail and new school construction. That’s about as deep of a municipal finance explainer I can give before I get lost and confused. I’ll definitely be tuning in (once I get the audio up on The Boring Show) to learn more, especially about slide 12 which shows the projections for new revenues needed in the coming years to support our existing debt payments. I don’t see how that aligns with the Mayor’s plan to reduce the real estate tax, but, like I said, I hope to learn more soon!
 

Homeward has released its 2022 Winter Point-in-Time data, which shows the number of folks in our region experiencing homelessness. From the report: “The January 2022 PIT count found that the number of people experiencing homelessness in the Richmond region decreased by 11 percent compared to the PIT count in January 2021, from 736 people in January 2021 to 654 people in January 2022.” Seems good, but: “The January 2022 PIT count revealed a 35% percent increase in the number of people experiencing homelessness compared to the July 2019 PIT count, which occurred before the pandemic.“ The report points out an important lesson learned, which seems like an evergreen lesson: “Emergency shelter is a life-saving intervention, but quality and affordable housing, steady income, and supportive services that support housing stability end homelessness for our neighbors.”
 

#358
March 21, 2022
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👻 Good morning, RVA: Redistricting maps, RGGI, and cursed restaurants

Good morning, RVA! It’s 46 °F, and today looks beautiful. After we get through some fog this morning, you can expect sunshine and highs in the mid 70s—definitely do a patio thing this evening. Tomorrow looks real warm, but with a chance of severe storms, and then temperatures drop a bit on Sunday. Positives and negatives, I guess!
 

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In the midst of budget season, School Board drama, and the General Assembly session, I 100% forgot about redistricting. Gasp, I know. Almost 10 entire days ago, City Council adopted “Draft Demonstration Map 2C” for public review and comment. Tap through for a nice map that overlays both the current Council Districts (colors) and the proposed Council Districts (black outlines) giving you an easy way to spot the proposed changes. The 2nd, 3rd, and 6th Districts see the biggest shifts, which makes sense as they had the largest population imbalances that needed to be sorted out. I…don’t think I have a lot of thoughts on these new maps! The new districts look less wobbly (aka more “compact” in redistricting parlance), which I think is a win, and, qualitatively, the area around Brookland Parkway always felt more like part of the 3rd than the 2nd to me, so there’s that. But if you have more specific and useful thoughts than I do, the official mechanism for feedback is to email your Councilmember and liaison. You’ve got until April 25th to weigh in.
 

Earlier this week the Governor’s administration released a report on the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, which, eye roll. The Governor has tried his very best to remove Virginia from the regional carbon market (one of the most conservative, free-market ways to address emissions), but has so far not found the authority to do so. I hadn’t linked to it yet because I don’t love the idea of encouraging folks to spend their time flipping through a 78-page climate-denying report—plus, I was hoping the Virginia Mercury’s Sarah Vogelsong would dig into it for me. And lo! Today you can read her report on the report, which includes choice quotes like: “Multiple environmental groups and state energy policy experts, however, say the document’s conclusions are contradictory and fail to take into account how RGGI costs disincentivize the use of carbon-emitting units in the regional electric grid.” and “‘The conclusions in this report really don’t match the data,’ said Benforado. ‘While the governor attempts to brush aside the need for RGGI, the report actually confirms the need for RGGI.’”
 

#1082
March 18, 2022
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🪙 Good morning, RVA: One Civilian Review Board proposal, teacher burnout, and a Norman Rockwell

Good morning, RVA! It’s 52 °F, and rainy and it’ll continue to rain for most of the day. NBC12’s Andrew Freiden says we might see some sunshine for a few hours late in the day—fingers crossed!
 

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The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Ali Rockett reports on ORD. 2022–091, an ordinance submitted by Mayor Stoney to create a Civilian Review Board. According to Rockett: “The [Mayor’s] proposal closely matches recommendations suggested by William Pelfrey Jr. — a professor at VCU’s L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs with expertise on policing, whom the administration hired as a consultant — but ignores many of the recommendations from a council-appointed task force that called for a completely independent office to handle all complaints against officers, audit police data and procedures, and make binding disciplinary decisions.” If I were City Council, I would immediately reject the Mayor’s ordinance and focus on drafting something that more closely matched the recommendations from Council’s own Civilian Review Board Task Force. To spend so much citizen time and effort on crafting these recommendations just to pass them by in favor of the proposal submitted by the Mayor would make for a serious violation of the public trust. It’s not that the Mayor’s proposal is bad (although I think it could be stronger), but it is certainly not what Council has promised through their own extensive public process.
 

This past Monday’s episode of The Boring Show (aka City Council’s second budget meeting) is now up and available for your ears. I haven’t listened yet, but can’t wait because RPS Superintendent Kamras stopped by to give an overview of the Schools' budget, which, I think, still has some pretty big open questions surrounding it. Anyway, I plan to zoom through at 2x speed today as I commute by bike (or bus, depending on the weather). Council will hold their third work session this coming Monday at 1:00 PM and will focus on an analysis of the Mayor’s proposed operating budget.
 

#290
March 17, 2022
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🚲🚲 Good morning, RVA: Nothingburgers, farmers' markets, and urban trails

Good morning, RVA! It’s 44 °F, and we’ve got another lovely day on deck. Expect highs in the 70s and a strong desire to take your lunch outside. Rain will probably move in later tonight and last through most of tomorrow.
 

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Mel Leonor at the Richmond Times-Dispatch reports on the Governor’s new COVID-19 guidance for employers. I think these brief, general, “hey man, do what feels right for you” regulations, if you can even call them that, are mostly nothingburgers while cases and hospitalizations continue to decrease. However, should we see a rise in cases and severe outcomes due to a new variant (for more on this read Katelyn Jetelina’s latest), the Governor’s going to be in a real tough spot. I do hope he gets to continue his meaningless victory lap, though, because I don’t know if I can handle another coronawave at the moment.
 

As spring continues to do its thing, I continue to get excited about plants poking up in the yard, planning this year’s garden, and spending too much time asleep in a hammock. Along those lines—if stuffing bags full of leafy vegetables, sticky doughnuts, and other local fare is part of your spring routine—the folks at RICtoday have put together this useful map of some of the farmers' markets in town. I notice a lack of pin points on the city’s Southside and East End, which surely doesn’t reflect reality, right? In fact, it reminds me of ORD. 2021–360, which just passed City Council last month and grants a special use permit to Second Baptist Church (3300 Broad Rock Boulevard) for the purpose of hosting a farmers' market. Read through Second Baptist’s applicant letter for a good look at how they hope the market will impact the nearby community.
 

#209
March 16, 2022
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🚏 Good morning, RVA: New graphs, boards & commissions, and you should adopt a bus stop

Good morning, RVA! It’s 37 °F, but today’s weather looks stunning. Expect clear skies and highs in the 70s. Get out there and enjoy it because rain moves in at some point over the next two days.
 

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Here’s this week’s graph of hospitalizations and deaths due to COVID-19 across Virginia. You’ll notice the hospitalizations graph is more colorful (and more useful) due to a reorganizing of VDH’s COVID-19 dashboard. One of the other changes made during that reorganization means you can no longer pull a graph of hospitalizations by locality, but, according to the press release, you can get at the same data over on Virginia’s open data portal. After poking around for 30 seconds and failing to build the chart I wanted, I bailed. I’ll do better next week!
 

City Council’s Governmental Operations committee meets today at 4:00 PM, and the City Clerk’s office will give a really fascinating presentation on the state of boards, commissions, and similar entities. We’ve got 54 of these groups, 50 are active, and 78 seats remain open (a full 15%!). Scroll through the aforelinked PDF for some great charts about which of Council’s committees has the most boards reporting to it (Land Use, Housing and Transportation), the length of terms (typically three years), and which Council districts have the most members (the 8th and 9th Districts each have about a third of the total number of members when compared to the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th Districts). Pages 12–15 list the Clerks considerations for cleaning up our whole Boards & Commissions process—including addressing barriers that impact diversity in board membership. I frequently write about how folks should apply and participate in one of these things because it’s an easy way to get directly involved in the workings of City government, so I’d love to see any tweaks that make the process easier. Tune in today if you want to hear the conversation! P.S. Today is the last day to apply for one of those 78 vacant seats until the next round of applications opens up.
 

#349
March 15, 2022
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🥧 Good morning, RVA: GA adjourns, budget meetings, and carbon credits

Good morning, RVA! It’s 29 °F, but later today you can expect highs in the 60s. In fact, other than some rain on Thursday, this week’s weather looks amazing.
 

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Whitney Evans at VPM has a quick report on the General Assembly’s decision to adjourn the session without agreeing on a budget. This means the Governor, at some point, will have to call the GA back for a special session so they can pass a budget, but, as of now, it’s unclear how the two chambers will reach a compromise. The Governor and Republicans in the House of Delegates want to gamble with the State’s future and defund a bunch government programs by giving out inequitable tax refunds. Democrats in the Senate want to give smaller refunds, but add in a refundable Earned Income Tax Credit—which the Commonwealth Institute says is “critical for reaching families with low incomes, who would see little to no benefit from other proposed tax policies that would primarily benefit middle-income tax filers, such as increasing the state standard deduction.” Virginia’s gotta have a budget, so something, somewhere, at some point will have to give.
 

Today at 1:00 PM, City Council begins a long slog of meetings starting with their second budget work session, continuing in to their informal meeting, and then heading straight on through to their regularly scheduled Monday night meeting. I don’t envy them this schedule and hope they remember to eat dinner and hydrate. For the budget curious, the agenda and meeting documents haven’t yet posted for that meeting, but I’ll make sure to get the audio up on The Boring Show as soon as I can. As for Council’s regular meeting, you can find the full agenda here which is mostly made up of Special Use Permits from Planning Commission (although, for now, the confusing laundry list of Richmond 300 amendments sits on the Regular Agenda). Make sense to me—who’s got any brainsmarts left to deal with real legislation after six hours of meetings?
 

#434
March 14, 2022
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🧱 Good morning, RVA: Does RPS have a budget?, angry superintendents, and spring garden tips

Good morning, RVA! It’s 32 °F, and I’m not wearing socks, which was a mistake. Other than that, today looks lovely with dry skies, highs in the 60s, and plenty of reasons to spend time outside with your best pal. Tomorrow though…tomorrow looks like a cold, wet disaster—perfect for staying in and getting caught up on the latest film in The Conjuring Cinematic Universe.
 

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I listened to a bit of City Council’s Education and Human Services committee yesterday and will throw the audio up on The Boring Show this morning because it’s probably worth your time (at least at 2x). After listening in and reading this statement from Richmond Together, it seems like a ton of unanswered questions remain about RPS’s budget. This bit from Richmond Together’s statement causes me the most anxiety: “Even more worrying, it is our understanding that the School Board Chair on March 1st transmitted to the Mayor and City Council a short letter summarizing the total proposed budget totals for RPS…but did not attach a completed budget…this means that no actual budget has in fact been sent to the City.” The letter goes on to show a bunch of receipts from previous years of when School Board sent the full operating budget over to Mayor and Council: FY17, February 11th; FY18, February 21st; and FY22, February 18th. In fact, I looked in my own PDF library, and I added the RPS’s FY22 budget on February 22nd, 2021. I don’t know what’s going on or why the School Board is slow-walking their own budget, but it’s dysfunctional and will almost certainly end poorly (for everyone involved!).
 

The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Mel Leonor reports on a letter all 133 state superintendents sent to Governor Youngkin challenging his attempts to ban teaching about equity and systemic racism. You can read the full letter here, which has some great quotes like: “division superintendents disagree with your assumption that discriminatory and divisive concepts have become widespread in Virginia school divisions without your having involved educators in formulating that position or without having provided evidence to support that position.” And, remember, this is on behalf of literally all of Virginia’s superintendents. A couple weeks ago, the Governor “scrapped dozens of resources for schools aimed at promoting diversity and equity, calling them divisive and at times discriminatory,” which was the impetus for this letter. I didn’t write about it at the time because it really felt like one of those things done specifically to make liberals angry (which it did). But, I’ll tell you what, 133 superintendents across all of Virginia’s localities are likely not a uniformly liberal group of folks—in fact, I’d say, on the whole, they’re probably pretty split on their political beliefs. It’s impressive that the Governor managed to make all of them angry.
 

#422
March 11, 2022
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🚍 Good morning, RVA: The CIP, a disturbing confrontation, and the bus is free

Good morning, RVA! It’s 42 °F, and rainy. You can expect the rain to continue through the morning and maybe even into the afternoon. Temperatures are way cooler, too—like, in the mid 40s for most of the day. Put some extra layers on under that rain jacket!
 

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Have you had a chance to look through the mayor’s proposed Capital Improvement Plan for FY23 yet? I mean, who doesn’t rush to scroll through a 167-page budget PDF in their free time?? Remember, the CIP is the City’s budget for tangible things you can touch with your hands—bridges, buildings, bike lanes, that sort of stuff—and the best thing about the CIP, in my opinion, is it’s just so dang readable. Each project has a single dedicated page that includes a couple paragraphs of narrative and a table showing the funding allocated (or removed) over the next couple of years. That’s it! Want to know more about the plan to replace the rickety, old bridge over the train tracks on Lombardy (originally built in 1903!)? Turn to page 81, and you’ll see that it’ll cost about $10 million, is funded mostly by VDOT and the federal government, and has $4.1 million of funding allocated towards it this coming year. What about upgrading our city’s stormwater and sewer infrastructure? Page 117 and 118 show almost $80 million allocated for both this coming fiscal year, funded by user fees (that’s our utility bills) and bonds. See? Such an easy and fun PDF. Of course some of the projects are very broad and cover a ton of work (like Complete Streets, p. 96, $17 million), and you’ll probably wish you knew which streets were getting completed out of that bucket in FY23. Unfortunately, that requires some more digging and isn’t really the purpose of the CIP and this particular document. Anyway, it’s a good read, and I encourage you to at least read the Mayor’s introduction on page 33, scan through the list of completed projects on page 39, and briefly flip through the rest. You won’t regret it (probably!).
 

The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Reed Williams reports on a disturbing confrontation between a woman and a Richmond Police officer at the Family Dollar on Westover Hills Boulevard. Tap through for a video, but, be aware it’s violent and hard to watch as the officer pins the woman to the ground and tries to handcuff her as she screams in pain. RPD released the following statement: “Richmond Police Department has become aware of a video that is circulating on social media regarding an arrest made by RPD yesterday, March 7, in the 1200 block of Westover Hills Boulevard for a report of a shoplifting in progress. The Department is investigating the incident and will provide a statement at the appropriate time.” Related: The Mayor has included $204,199 in his FY23 budget for the Civilian Review Board, and Council’s Civilian Review Board Task Force recommended a budget of $1.2 million.
 

#182
March 9, 2022
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🚍 Good morning, RVA: The CIP, a disturbing confrontation, and the bus is free

Good morning, RVA! It’s 42 °F, and rainy. You can expect the rain to continue through the morning and maybe even into the afternoon. Temperatures are way cooler, too—like, in the mid 40s for most of the day. Put some extra layers on under that rain jacket!
 

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Have you had a chance to look through the mayor’s proposed Capital Improvement Plan for FY23 yet? I mean, who doesn’t rush to scroll through a 167-page budget PDF in their free time?? Remember, the CIP is the City’s budget for tangible things you can touch with your hands—bridges, buildings, bike lanes, that sort of stuff—and the best thing about the CIP, in my opinion, is it’s just so dang readable. Each project has a single dedicated page that includes a couple paragraphs of narrative and a table showing the funding allocated (or removed) over the next couple of years. That’s it! Want to know more about the plan to replace the rickety, old bridge over the train tracks on Lombardy (originally built in 1903!)? Turn to page 81, and you’ll see that it’ll cost about $10 million, is funded mostly by VDOT and the federal government, and has $4.1 million of funding allocated towards it this coming year. What about upgrading our city’s stormwater and sewer infrastructure? Page 117 and 118 show almost $80 million allocated for both this coming fiscal year, funded by user fees (that’s our utility bills) and bonds. See? Such an easy and fun PDF. Of course some of the projects are very broad and cover a ton of work (like Complete Streets, p. 96, $17 million), and you’ll probably wish you knew which streets were getting completed out of that bucket in FY23. Unfortunately, that requires some more digging and isn’t really the purpose of the CIP and this particular document. Anyway, it’s a good read, and I encourage you to at least read the Mayor’s introduction on page 33, scan through the list of completed projects on page 39, and briefly flip through the rest. You won’t regret it (probably!).
 

The Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Reed Williams reports on a disturbing confrontation between a woman and a Richmond Police officer at the Family Dollar on Westover Hills Boulevard. Tap through for a video, but, be aware it’s violent and hard to watch as the officer pins the woman to the ground and tries to handcuff her as she screams in pain. RPD released the following statement: “Richmond Police Department has become aware of a video that is circulating on social media regarding an arrest made by RPD yesterday, March 7, in the 1200 block of Westover Hills Boulevard for a report of a shoplifting in progress. The Department is investigating the incident and will provide a statement at the appropriate time.” Related: The Mayor has included $204,199 in his FY23 budget for the Civilian Review Board, and Council’s Civilian Review Board Task Force recommended a budget of $1.2 million.
 

#182
March 9, 2022
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🦅 Good morning, RVA: Fox students find a temporary home, connecting Northside, and Richmond Black Restaurant Experience

Good morning, RVA! It’s 48 °F, and yesterday’s weather was weird. Today, though, you can expect highs near 60 °F throughout most of the day, and you don’t need to worry about 45mph gusts of wind ripping down your flags or pushing you off your bike. In summary: Cooler and less apocalyptic.
 

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As of today, Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield’s COVID-19 community levels—that new metric from the CDC—are all “low” (aka green, aka live-your-life level). The case rates per 100,00 people over the last seven days for each locality are 105, 104, and 107, respectively. The pollen count, however, is pretty high and will surely induce some coronanxieties in allergy sufferers across the region. I also think you should read this column from Governor Youngkin in the Danville Register & Bee about his views and plans to continue to increase the vaccination rate among Virginia’s unvaccinated—especially those in the south and southwest parts of the commonwealth. It’s very personal freedom, anti-mandate, anti-government blah, blah, blah, but it’s pro-vaccine and miles away from the governor of Florida’s plan to actively recommend against vaccinating children.
 

Chris Suarez, who I guess covers the education beat for the Richmond Times-Dispatch now that Kenya Hunter’s gone, reports on last night’s RPS school board meeting. The big news for Fox Elementary families: Starting March 21st, Fox students will temporarily head over to First Baptist Church on Monument Avenue for in-person school. @KidsFirstRPS live tweeted the meeting if you want to dig in to the Board’s other agenda items. I haven’t read through the whole thing yet, but I still haven’t seen any sort of comment from the Board on the Mayor’s budget which is shocking to me. I anticipated a slew of medium posts, twitter threads, and interviews in the paper!
 

#451
March 8, 2022
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📑 Good morning, RVA: Budget PDFs, a school board meeting, and a great tweet

Good morning, RVA! It’s 63 °F, and today’s weather is…atypical. You can expect highs in the 80s, winds in the 20mph range (with gusts up to 45mph (?!)), and then a chance for severe storms this evening. Enjoy? I guess?
 

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This past Friday, Mayor Stoney introduced his FY 2023 budget and Capital Improvement Plan, and you can now (finally) scroll through both hefty PDFs all you want! You can also listen to the mayor’s introduction speech over on the Boring Show, which I recommend as a short, high-level introduction to his priorities (or read p. 35–44 of the budget PDF). The item of most intrigue is clearly Mayor Stoney’s decision to follow through on his promise to flat fund RPS since they turned in their budget late. That doesn’t mean schools will just have to do without any of the extra cash they asked for; the mayor put $15 million ($1 million less than the RPS request) into a reserve fund that “can be made available through the course of the fiscal year based upon needs demonstrated by the Richmond Public Schools leadership.” This new fund will require City Council to pass an entire ordinance to distribute any of the money—that means School Board and a majority of Council needs to all be on the same page, which, at this point, seems like a heckuva bar to clear. We’ll see if Council approves of this arrangement and includes it in the final budget they pass, the process of which will probably give us some insight into how easy or hard access to that money will be over the coming year. Outside of schools, there’s tons of stuff to dig into like city employee raises (5% raises for all employees, additional raises on top of that for cops), more funding for the Richmond Public Library, an increase in hourly parking fees, and modest increases in utility rates. And that’s not even touching the CIP which funds all the cool stuff like bridges, trails, and buildings. I’ll get into that later this week. As for next steps, City Council will have their first hands-on with the budget this coming Monday, so, until then, get out your favorite PDF reader and spend some time processing how our City will spend $836 million. One final note: This is the best looking budget document I’ve seen out of Richmond since I’ve been paying attention. Great work to all the staff who helped put it together!
 

Super related, Richmond’s School Board will meet tonight with a pretty packed agenda, including a handful of budget-related items. I haven’t seen any public reactions from School Board members about the Mayor’s plan to stick $15 million of their operating budget in a Council-controlled lockbox, and, despite the pre-existing agenda, I can’t imagine that won’t be the primary topic of conversation tonight. The Board will also discuss options for relocating Fox Elementary. At this point, the Administration recommends a short-term move to First Baptist Church on Monument Avenue for a couple weeks and then a permanent(ish) move into Clark Springs at some point in April.
 

#940
March 7, 2022
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🦗 Good morning, RVA: The Boring Show, Budget Eve, and reconnecting Jackson Ward

Good morning, RVA! It’s 49 °F, and the nice weather keeps rolling right on through Richmond. Today you can expect highs in the 60s, but I’m already looking forward to this weekend, when we could see highs near 80 °F!
 

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It took a few days longer than expected, but I finally got around to updating The Boring Show with City Council’s first meeting of the 2022 Budget Season. If you’re new to Good Morning, RVA, every spring I take the publicly available video from each of Council’s budget meetings and make a podcast out of it called The Boring Show (you can subscribe here). In my very biased opinion, it’s the best way to get a feel for Council’s priorities for the year ahead, plus you can listen at 2x speed while riding your bike through the forest or walking around the block in the early spring weather. It’s both boring and fascinating—perfect for subscribers of this newsletter. Anyway, try and get through the first episode today (it’s about two hours long if you’re listening at a snail-like 1x), because the Mayor introduces the budget tomorrow at 3:00 PM! Exciting stuff!
 

Related, Scott Bass at Richmond Magazine has a nice recap of where we are with School Board’s budget just one day ahead of the Mayor introducing his own budget—which may or may not fully fund RPS’s requests. Bass nails it: “Later in the night, the board would acquiesce. It approved a reduced budget proposal of $356.6 million, keeping funding for the virtual academy and the chief operating officer and wellness officer, but the drama raises the specter of more conflict around the corner. The mayor is expected to introduce his fiscal 2023 budget on Friday, which will kick off another round of negotiations over the next several weeks.” The focus of this year’s budget season is now fully on public schools, which does feel like a shift from a couple months ago. Tune in tomorrow, though, to see how the Mayor decides to fund RPS. It’s the one of the biggest budget buckets, and tomorrow we’ll see the City’s starting bid for how much to fill it up.
 

#905
March 3, 2022
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🐈 Good morning, RVA: Understanding risk, a casino roadblock, and dangerous kittens

Good morning, RVA! It’s 46 °F, and today looks lovely. You can expect highs near 70 °F, making today the Andrew Freiden Verified Best Day of the Week™. Lunch outside seems like a very strong possibility.
 

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Katelyn Jetelina, my current favorite epidemiologist with a newsletter, has a great new post about understanding risk that features two charts I’ve wanted for months and months. Before 2020, most of us went about our lives never giving much thought to the flu, despite (or maybe because of?) the annual reminders to get your flu shot. The flu is a real and serious disease that kills a bunch of people each year, but, for whatever reason, the risk of catching and dying from influenza is a tolerable one for most Americans. This graph compares the lethality of COVID to that of the flu over the course of the pandemic, and, right now, the risk of dying from COVID-19 is about twice that of dying from the flu. Due to “vaccines, infection-induced immunity, therapeutics, better understanding of care, and many more factors” that’s way down from just a year ago when COVID-19 was 20 times deadlier than influenza. Is “2x flu” a risk that feels worth taking for you? Maybe! It’s certainly a good data point to have while making decisions about living your life. The second chart I wanted to point out is this one that standardizes your risk of dying doing normal, everyday things by using “MicroMorts”, or a one-in-a-million chance of dying. For example, you have about a one-in-a-million chance of dying every time you drive 250 miles, so that’s a risk of 1 MM. Motorcycles are particularly deadly and have a risk level of 4 MM for driving just 25 miles. This table lists the risk level in MicroMorts for unvaccinated, not boosted, and boosted individuals by age. For an individual aged 18–49 that’s up-to-date on their vaccines, the risk of dying from COVID-19 (48 MM) is significantly less than driving for a year (100 MM) or giving birth in the US (210 MM). I don’t do either of those things, but—#bancars discussion aside—they are risks that I mostly accept as I move about the world. Your level of risk tolerance may be different than mine, and that’s OK, but knowing the current risk level and how it compares to daily activity seems like an important tool for this coronatransitional time.
 

Jonathan Spiers at Richmond BizSense reports on a fascinating update to Richmond’s Casino Saga: Last week, Senator Joe Morrissey introduced a budget amendment that would prevent Richmond from holding a second casino referendum until 2023. The state budget, with this amendment included, passed the Senate and now sits with the House. Morrissey’s previous legislative efforts to prevent Richmond’s repeat referendum failed, but this one seems to have at least a little bit of momentum—we’ll see if House Republicans agree. Also interesting, Spiers reports on a new resolution introduced by Councilmember Lynch (RES. 2022-R014) that would request a third of all future, theoretical casino revenues be kept in a reserve fund to cover the anticipated decreases in schools funding from the state. While I’m not necessarily against this idea, I hope this is not a resolution that will provide cover for Councilmembers voting to lower the real estate tax should a casino ultimately be approved by voters!
 

#949
March 2, 2022
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😰 Good morning, RVA: RPS has a budget, two CRB recommendations, and the SotU

Good morning, RVA! It’s 31 °F, but highs today, and over the next couple days, should settle in the 60s. Don’t look now, but this weekend we could see temperatures in the 80s! Incredible!
 

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It’s Tuesday, and so I bring you this week’s graphs of COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths in Virginia. Check out the hospitalizations graph in particular; the Commonwealth now has fewer hospitalizations now than when the Omicron wave began. Pending an unknowable and unpredictable change at some point in future, we’re just a couple of weeks away from numbers not seen since the magical, care-free time of last summer. However, we’re not quite there yet, and our shiny new “community level” indicator remains at yellow (or medium). One last coronaupdate: The Governor’s anti-mask legislation banning mask mandates in public schools goes into effect today, just days after the CDC went ahead and adjusted their masking recommendations. Masks in schools were never going to be a forever thing, and now, due to this shortsighted legislation passed by the General Assembly and signed by the Governor, we’ve lost an important public health tool should we need it again.
 

Chris Suarez at the Richmond Times-Dispatch reports that Richmond’s School Board unanimously passed a budget last night that, while smaller than what the Superintendent proposed, still funds the District’s Chief Operating Officer and Chief Wellness Officer. I spent most of yesterday nervously tied up in knots, hoping the Board would not strip these position and create an untenable situation for Superintendent Kamras. I will now exhale, take a minute for my heart rate to return to normal, and celebrate that—as the sun rises this morning—RPS still has a superintendent. Compromise, which the Board managed to find yesterday, is good and I am glad for it! This political brinkmanship, though, is poisonous. That the School Board ultimately chose to do the right thing does not distract me from the fact that, without the direct involvement of hundreds of Richmonders, they planned on passing a budget that would have, in Kamras’s words, “tied my hands behind my back and expected me to perform miracles.” There’s a lot of work to be done moving forward.
 

#301
March 1, 2022
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📧 Good morning, RVA: New mask guidance, a very important budget meeting, and Russian vodka

Good morning, RVA! It’s 31 °F, and today you can expect sunny highs in the 50s. The week ahead of us looks clear, dry, and pretty dang warm for a first week of March—I’ve already made plans to work in my yard this weekend. Spring has almost sprung!
 

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Late last Friday, the CDC announced new guidelines for helping you decide if and when you should wear a mask. Now, instead of “community transmission,” we’ve got “community level”, a three-tier framework that’s based on new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people, new COVID-19 hospital admissions per 100,000 people, and the percentage of staffed inpatient hospital beds occupied by COVID-19 patients. You can see the big shift here is to include not just cases but hospitalizations in a decision-making framework for folks. Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield are all currently at “medium” (yellow) level which means that the CDC does not recommend most people wear a mask indoors in public. This is a big change! I’m still processing what it all means, but I found this PDF from the CDC comparing community level with community transmission over past few COVID-19 waves pretty helpful. Also helpful, Katelyn Jetelina already wrote up her initial reactions to the new guidance, and gives it a general thumbs up.
 

Tonight, at River City Middle School from 6:00 PM until question mark, the RPS School Board will host a meeting to, theoretically, pass their budget. The big question is: Will the Board meddle in the operation of schools—during several concurrent and ongoing crises—and cut funding for the District’s Chief Operating Office and Chief Wellness Officer with almost no planning or community engagement? Tonight feels like a big inflection moment for Richmond Public Schools. In one possible future, the School Board continues down their current path of grandstanding, micromanaging the superintendent, and stripping his administration of the tools needed to successfully do the job. That’s the bad timeline and the one where, before too long, RPS is probably searching for a new superintendent to come work in its openly hostile environment. In another future, the five-member voting bloc puts Richmond’s kids first, passes a budget that includes the COO and CWO, and quickly asks the Mayor and Council very, very nicely to fully fund the RPS budget request. The first, bad timeline should terrify you—even if you don’t have children in Richmond Public Schools. Who would want to take this job should Kamras leave? What qualified leader would want to come into a clearly dysfunctional situation and work for a Board that, for some incomprehensible reason, made the job so hard for the previous guy that he up and quit? I love Richmond, deeply, but this is not a top-tier job at the moment and we would not see top-tier candidates. OK, on to the empowering, action part of this email! First, you should email the entire School Board, copying all of City Council and their liaisons, and ask them to pass a budget tonight that includes the Chief Operating Officer and Chief Wellness Officer. Then, you should screenshot that email and post it on the social media platform(s) of your choice, asking others to send similar emails. Here are some talking points if you need them. Finally, according to the agenda for tonight’s in-person School Board meeting, there will be public comment. The more people that show up to this meeting and give public comment in support of Superintendent Kamras the better. Things seem dark after that whole paragraph, but the future is still unwritten and the bad timeline is not a foregone conclusion. Hopefully, with enough public outcry, School Board’s five-member voting bloc will make the decisions necessary to support the superintendent, the District, and kids.
 

#627
February 28, 2022
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🇺🇦 Good morning, RVA: Ukraine, six budget investments, and taking an L

Good morning, RVA! It’s 41 °F, and you can expect a wet and cold day ahead of us. Temperatures should stay about where they are right now, so bring a coat, bring an umbrella, and wear some warm socks.
 

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Breaking international news: The New York Times reports that “Russia Attacks Ukraine From Land and Sea.” The aforelinked page has a good summary of the evolving situation pinned at the top, a map of reported overnight missile strikes across the country, and a live-updating feed of breaking news. Here’s President Biden’s statement on the attack in which he promises to “speak to the American people to announce the further consequences the United States and our Allies and partners will impose on Russia for this needless act of aggression against Ukraine and global peace and security.”
 

In what I hope is now just a regular part of budget season, Richmond Together has released their budget advocacy statement, listing out their recommendations for how the City should spend and invest in the coming year. It’s going to be a complicated and lean budget season, and so Richmond Together has focused on six, modest recommendations: Jump-starting implementation of the Community Center Initiative, fully funding RPS, continuing to fund the Affordable Housing Trust Fund, supporting new initiatives for addressing gun violence, investing in the Office of Community Wealth Building, and creating two positions to strengthen the Performance Management Office. Flip to page five for a scary chart from the Department of Budget and Strategic Planning that shows the City’s expenditures outstripping revenue as soon as next year. From the report: “Given the City’s looming revenue gap, we are deeply skeptical of any proposal to reduce the property tax rate in conjunction with proposed economic development deals. We also must continue to think creatively about possibilities for building community wealth above and beyond existing initiatives.” Same, PDF, same. Anyway, the whole document is worth your time—check out the Department of Transportation and Land Value Tax mentions! For me at least, this PDF sets the local bar as far as progressive policy documents go. Great work, everyone!
 

#1018
February 24, 2022
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💸 Good morning, RVA: Bad budget news, more bad budget news, and transit bylaws

Good morning, RVA! It’s 61 °F, and this afternoon you can expect highs in the 70s?? This evening, if it stops raining long enough to get out before the sun sets, you can find me me zooming through some damp Northside alleys on two wheels.
 

Water cooler

The RPS School Board failed to pass a budget last night, with the same oppositional five-member voting bloc each voting against the Superintendent’s proposal. @KidsFirstRPS has a long, live Twitter thread if you want get a feel for the meeting. As with the George Wythe debacle, these five members of the School Board can think they have the leverage all they want, but the Mayor introduces the City’s budget (which funds the school system) and City Council approves that budget. RPS gets what they get. The Mayor is required to submit his budget by March 4th, just nine days from now, and has requested the RPS budget by Friday or has said he’ll move forward using last year’s funding level for schools. Working with the Superintendent to craft a budget to give to the Mayor is the Board’s best opportunity to lay out their priorities and influence the process. Taking this week to grandstand and point fingers will mean they’ve given away their ability to get involved in the process to the Mayor and City Council, who, believe me, will have no problems setting an RPS budget all on their own. While flat-funding RPS would put the District in a world of hurt (see below for more bad budget news), five members of the School Board do not get to hold the entire City budget hostage.
 

In his email last night, before the disappointing budget meeting, RPS Superintendent Kamras sent out a call-to-action around the State’s budget. Here’s his words: “I’ll cut to the chase with some simple math: the Senate’s budget proposal would ADD $2 million to RPS while the House version would SUBTRACT $12.5 million. The House has proposed cutting what’s called the At-Risk Add-On, which is special funding for school divisions like RPS that serve a high percentage of low-income students. It’s time to act.” If you’d like to act, and you should, RPS has put together a very helpful page with exactly the language you should use and which legislators you should email. Imagine the kind of world our students will be living in with the existing $7 million cut in state funding, an additional $12.5 million cut proposed by Republican legislators, and then a potential flat-funding from the City because the School Board’s five-member voting bloc can’t seem to pass a budget. I think, total, that would be something like a $40 million shortfall? An 11% cut from the proposed budget? I’m sure something, somewhere will shake out of all these in-progress budgets, but it won’t be a full funding of RPS—that’s for sure. It’s exhausting to have to battle for public school dollars from the three separate levels of elected government.
 

#46
February 23, 2022
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💸 Good morning, RVA: Bad budget news, more bad budget news, and transit bylaws

Good morning, RVA! It’s 61 °F, and this afternoon you can expect highs in the 70s?? This evening, if it stops raining long enough to get out before the sun sets, you can find me me zooming through some damp Northside alleys on two wheels.
 

Water cooler

The RPS School Board failed to pass a budget last night, with the same oppositional five-member voting bloc each voting against the Superintendent’s proposal. @KidsFirstRPS has a long, live Twitter thread if you want get a feel for the meeting. As with the George Wythe debacle, these five members of the School Board can think they have the leverage all they want, but the Mayor introduces the City’s budget (which funds the school system) and City Council approves that budget. RPS gets what they get. The Mayor is required to submit his budget by March 4th, just nine days from now, and has requested the RPS budget by Friday or has said he’ll move forward using last year’s funding level for schools. Working with the Superintendent to craft a budget to give to the Mayor is the Board’s best opportunity to lay out their priorities and influence the process. Taking this week to grandstand and point fingers will mean they’ve given away their ability to get involved in the process to the Mayor and City Council, who, believe me, will have no problems setting an RPS budget all on their own. While flat-funding RPS would put the District in a world of hurt (see below for more bad budget news), five members of the School Board do not get to hold the entire City budget hostage.
 

In his email last night, before the disappointing budget meeting, RPS Superintendent Kamras sent out a call-to-action around the State’s budget. Here’s his words: “I’ll cut to the chase with some simple math: the Senate’s budget proposal would ADD $2 million to RPS while the House version would SUBTRACT $12.5 million. The House has proposed cutting what’s called the At-Risk Add-On, which is special funding for school divisions like RPS that serve a high percentage of low-income students. It’s time to act.” If you’d like to act, and you should, RPS has put together a very helpful page with exactly the language you should use and which legislators you should email. Imagine the kind of world our students will be living in with the existing $7 million cut in state funding, an additional $12.5 million cut proposed by Republican legislators, and then a potential flat-funding from the City because the School Board’s five-member voting bloc can’t seem to pass a budget. I think, total, that would be something like a $40 million shortfall? An 11% cut from the proposed budget? I’m sure something, somewhere will shake out of all these in-progress budgets, but it won’t be a full funding of RPS—that’s for sure. It’s exhausting to have to battle for public school dollars from the three separate levels of elected government.
 

#46
February 23, 2022
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🍔 Good morning, RVA: Case rate trending down, a spicy budget season start, and a possible change to GRTC's board

Good morning, RVA! It’s 58 °F, and today you can expect warm and wet weather. Highs should top out in the mid 60s while rain may move in this afternoon and evening. I hope you took advantage of yesterday’s most excellent weather!
 

Water cooler

Here are this week’s graphs of hospitalizations and deaths due to COVID-19 in Virginia. The case rate per 100,000 people in Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield is 160, 202, and 150 respectively. While community transmission is still “high” across all three localities, that could change quickly (at least in our region). For a bit of hope, look towards NOVA and Hampton Roads where a few counties have dipped below 100 cases per 100,000 and have fallen into the “substantial” (orange!) level of community transmission. Substantial is still a word that means “a lot,” but it also means progress. Who knows that the future will actually bring, but if you’re using some sort of metric-based framework to guide your own personal behavior—like this one from Katelyn Jetelina—I bet next week could see some exciting changes to your social calendar.
 

Richmond’s budget season is off to a spicy start, as the Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Chris Suarez reports the Mayor has warned the School Board that they better pass the RPS budget this week or else face a year of flat funding. That’d be particularly brutal as the Superintendent’s budget relies on $22 million more from the City as compared to last year. We’ll have to see if this added pressure works and School Board gets a move on, because the piece closes with this ominous quote from 4th District Schoolboard member Jonathan Young about the Superintendent’s budget, “I will not be voting in favor of it. And at the risk of speaking for my colleagues, I don’t believe he has the five votes.” Yikes. Just a couple more days until Friday, so we’re sure to learn more soon.
 

#393
February 22, 2022
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🧑‍🔬 Good morning, RVA: New school mask policies, updating Chamberlayne, and explaining lab schools

Good morning, RVA! It’s 66 °F and windy. Temperatures fall from now straight through until tomorrow morning, which is kind of weird. Over the weekend, you can expect cooler but still decent temperatures, and if you’re lucky enough to have Monday off, it looks like the best day out of the next few. Enjoy!
 

Water cooler

RPS Superintendent Kamras shared the District’s updated masking plan last night and it makes a lot of sense to me (given the new, shortsighted legislation passed by the General Assembly and signed by the Governor). Here’s the gist: Starting March 1st, all adults—staff, parents, and visitors—must still wear masks; families must email a specific email address requesting that their student not wear a mask (no reason need be provided); and masks must still be worn on the bus (because that’s a federal law). If caregivers have not taken that proactive step to opt-out of the mask mandate, their children will be required to wear a mask. That’s probably the best we can manage, and, at least in Richmond’s schools, will probably mean the majority of students remain masked for the rest of the coming school year. Also, because Kamras’s administration almost always approaches tough moments with empathy: “No student will be separated, singled out, our disparaged in any way if their parent/caregiver elects to have them not wear a mask.” Out in the County, Henrico County Public Schools have decided on a less strict policy: “The division strongly recommends universal mask use indoors by students during times of high community transmission; however, school leaders understand that some parents/guardians will opt their children out.” Like RPS, staff and visitors, for now, must continue to wear masks inside HCPS schools. I feel the strongest desire, and I know you feel it too, to check back at the end of March and see how these two differing mask policies impacted the spread of COVID-19 in schools. But! I think there may be too many variables involved to really learn anything useful—the current and steady decline in case rates across Virginia, differing vaccination uptake rates between Richmond and Henrico, and the political makeup of the individual schools just to name a few.
 

Wyatt Gordon put together a good thread on Twitter about the transformation of the industrial area along Chamberlayne near Virginia Union University into a dense residential neighborhood. There’s lots to love going on in this area—spurred by the VUU/Chamberlayne Neighborhood Plan (one of my favorite small area plans)—but lots of work left to do to make it a hospitable place for humans. Most of that work involves narrowing Chamberlayne Avenue, prioritizing bus traffic, and creating safe ways for folks of all ages and abilities to cross the street. That’s such a low bar, but it really underscores how the City needs to level up the public infrastructure quickly to support all of the private development already going on in the area.
 

#354
February 18, 2022
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🖋 Good morning, RVA: Governor signs the anti-mask bill, losing local reporters, and another time capsule

Good morning, RVA! It’s 53 °F, and today, while a bit cloudy, will feature lovely springlike temperatures in the 70s. Feels odd, but I’m into it and will schedule some time to at least walk around the block after lunch. I hope you’ll find some time to get outside, too.
 

Water cooler

The Virginia Mercury’s Graham Moomaw reports that Govenror Youngkin signed SB 739, the bill banning school mask mandates, into law yesterday. The bill did end up with an emergency clause, adding a March 1st deadline for school districts to comply. I think Richmond Public Schools superintendent Jason Kamras put it best: “Earlier this afternoon, the Governor signed new legislation from the General Assembly banning masks mandates in schools as of March 1. As I’ve shared before, I think this is bad policy that will undermine our ability to keep everyone safe and limit interruptions to learning. That said, it is now the law in the Commonwealth. We’re assessing exactly what the legislation requires and its implications for RPS.” I continue to think that this legal prohibition against a legitimate public health tool is anti-science and dangerous. I also think that, in a couple of months (🤞), we could be living in a world where most folks do not need to wear masks inside. This was always the goal, and it’s ridiculous we couldn’t get there in a safe, science-based way.
 

City Council’s Finance and Economic Development committee meets today with a couple interesting items on their agenda, including a few papers that look related to Councilmember Addison’s proposal to raise the threshold for the Business, Professional and Occupational License tax (BPOL). I wrote about this earlier in the week and wondered how much money the City would lose out on if we raised the threshold at which businesses start paying significant taxes up from $100,000 to $250,000. Lucky for us, the ordinance’s Staff Report (ORD. 2022–032) has the details: “Reducing the tax obligation of 13.0% of all Richmond businesses, based on the analysis of FY21 actuals, would lead to a minimal impact of FY23 revenues of approximately $417,768 dollars (a reduction in BPOL taxes of -1.4% of the observed FY21 amount).” A little more than $400,000 does not seem like a ton of cash, especially if it gets us more in line with the Counties on this particular tax. Also on the Finance committee’s agenda, RES. 2022-R007, the non-binding resolution that express Council’s support of the Mayor’s plan to reduce the real estate tax should the casino referendum pass. At the moment, the resolution has three patrons: Councilmembers Robertson, Newbille, and Trammell. While I know at least some members of City Council do not support this shortsighted plan to reduce the City’s revenue, I don’t know if you could find five votes against it. We’ll see. We’ll also see if the looming costs of replacing Fox Elementary changes anyone’s willingness to place bets with the City’s future revenue.
 

#488
February 17, 2022
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🏫 Good morning, RVA: Uncouth Fox thoughts, retail marijuana, and multimodal transportation

Good morning, RVA! It’s 26 °F, but later today we should see temperatures around 60 °F and the beginning of a great stretch of warm-for-February weather. With the sun setting at 5:51 PM, there’s even a little extra time to get out there and enjoy it!
 

Water cooler

As Fox Elementary students head back to (virtual) school today and as Richmond Public Schools searches for a long-term temporary home, I feel like I have enough space from Friday’s fire to start thinking through my uncouth political and urbanist questions. If you’re a member of the Fox community and it’s too soon for you to think through some of these questions, I totally understand if you throw this email into the garbage! With that said, presented in no particular order:
 

  • The biggest, most headline-grabbing issue in replacing Fox Elementary will almost certainly be the lack of progress in replacing another school: George Wythe. It’s taken forever and a day to make even the babiest of steps towards replacing George Wythe High School, and any rapid movement on building a brand new Fox while Wythe sits untouched will be met with plenty of justifiable community anger.
  • It makes me wonder who on School Board or City Council will use the pressing need to replace Fox as leverage to push either the 1,600-seat or 2,000-seat plans for a George Wythe replacement (the former favored by the School Board’s majority voting bloc, the latter, I think, the correct path forward).
  • RPS currently lacks the staff to manage building a single school, let alone two. In fact, the Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Chris Suarez reported last week that Boardmember Jonathan Young wants to cut two construction management jobs from Superintendent Kamras’s budget. Living into their “schools build schools” mantra just got twice as hard for the School Board, and I’m not sure the District, at the moment, has all the resources they need to make a successful go at it.
  • State Senator McClellan is a Fox parent herself and chairs the School Construction and Modernization Commission. Plus, she has a bill floating around the General Assembly to allow localities to levy a new sales tax to use for construction and renovation of schools. McClellan is one of the best and most effective legislators we’ve got, and I’m interested to see if she can squeeze any support out of the State.
  • What’s up with the City’s debt capacity? How will the insurance money impact that limit? If there is insurance money, but it doesn’t cover the entire replacement of the school, will Richmond even be able to borrow enough money to fund construction?
  • Probably my most uncouth thought: How will not having a school in the Fan impact real estate prices? Fox being “one of the good schools” (which, to be clear, is an incredibly harmful narrative) is a main reason mostly white, mostly affluent families move to the Fan. If it takes half a decade to rebuild Fox what happens? If students get relocated to Clark Springs Elementary in Randolph, what happens to housing over there?
  • City Council elections are just two years away, and I don’t think we’ll have a new Fox Elementary by then. The 2nd District School Board and City Council races will almost certainly revolve around how the current representatives have handled this crisis.
  • I’m excited to see what building an new, urban school on a smallish piece of land looks like in the 2020s. What if RPS built dense, deeply affordable housing on half the property?
#48
February 16, 2022
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🏫 Good morning, RVA: Uncouth Fox thoughts, retail marijuana, and multimodal transportation

Good morning, RVA! It’s 26 °F, but later today we should see temperatures around 60 °F and the beginning of a great stretch of warm-for-February weather. With the sun setting at 5:51 PM, there’s even a little extra time to get out there and enjoy it!
 

Water cooler

As Fox Elementary students head back to (virtual) school today and as Richmond Public Schools searches for a long-term temporary home, I feel like I have enough space from Friday’s fire to start thinking through my uncouth political and urbanist questions. If you’re a member of the Fox community and it’s too soon for you to think through some of these questions, I totally understand if you throw this email into the garbage! With that said, presented in no particular order:
 

  • The biggest, most headline-grabbing issue in replacing Fox Elementary will almost certainly be the lack of progress in replacing another school: George Wythe. It’s taken forever and a day to make even the babiest of steps towards replacing George Wythe High School, and any rapid movement on building a brand new Fox while Wythe sits untouched will be met with plenty of justifiable community anger.
  • It makes me wonder who on School Board or City Council will use the pressing need to replace Fox as leverage to push either the 1,600-seat or 2,000-seat plans for a George Wythe replacement (the former favored by the School Board’s majority voting bloc, the latter, I think, the correct path forward).
  • RPS currently lacks the staff to manage building a single school, let alone two. In fact, the Richmond Times-Dispatch’s Chris Suarez reported last week that Boardmember Jonathan Young wants to cut two construction management jobs from Superintendent Kamras’s budget. Living into their “schools build schools” mantra just got twice as hard for the School Board, and I’m not sure the District, at the moment, has all the resources they need to make a successful go at it.
  • State Senator McClellan is a Fox parent herself and chairs the School Construction and Modernization Commission. Plus, she has a bill floating around the General Assembly to allow localities to levy a new sales tax to use for construction and renovation of schools. McClellan is one of the best and most effective legislators we’ve got, and I’m interested to see if she can squeeze any support out of the State.
  • What’s up with the City’s debt capacity? How will the insurance money impact that limit? If there is insurance money, but it doesn’t cover the entire replacement of the school, will Richmond even be able to borrow enough money to fund construction?
  • Probably my most uncouth thought: How will not having a school in the Fan impact real estate prices? Fox being “one of the good schools” (which, to be clear, is an incredibly harmful narrative) is a main reason mostly white, mostly affluent families move to the Fan. If it takes half a decade to rebuild Fox what happens? If students get relocated to Clark Springs Elementary in Randolph, what happens to housing over there?
  • City Council elections are just two years away, and I don’t think we’ll have a new Fox Elementary by then. The 2nd District School Board and City Council races will almost certainly revolve around how the current representatives have handled this crisis.
  • I’m excited to see what building an new, urban school on a smallish piece of land looks like in the 2020s. What if RPS built dense, deeply affordable housing on half the property?
#48
February 16, 2022
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🐯 Good morning, RVA: Budget season!, a clever strategy, and great Richmond things

Good morning, RVA! It’s 18 °F, and that’s way too cold. Temperatures will triple by this afternoon and then head into the 60s and 70s over the next couple of days. Weird, but I accept!
 

Water cooler

It’s Tuesday, so here’s your weekly look at the graphs of hospitalizations and deaths in Virginia due to COVID-19. Looks like we’re definitely on the backside of the hospitals peak, and maybe just getting to a similar place with deaths. Pending some drastic shift in trends, two weeks from now these graphs—and the spread of disease in our communities—will look a lot different. As of yesterday, the CDC Data Tracker lists Richmond’s Case Rate Per 100k at 251, Henrico’s at 310, and Chesterfield’s at 344. Those are all still “high” levels, but they’ve all dropped about 30% over the last seven days. Sooner rather than later we will see a drop in our “community transmission” level from that high level (scary red) to substantial (less scary orange). That’s something to look forward to, and, for me, will mean more engaging with the world!
 

The Virginia Mercury’s Graham Moomaw reports that the bill banning mask mandates in schools passed the House of Delegates and will now head to the Governor for his signature. He’ll probably recommend an “emergency clause” which would turn this bill into a law within the next couple of weeks. I’m still upset at Senate Democrats for allowing this to happen, and I just hope COVID-19—or some other horrible disease—doesn’t drop us in a public health crisis where we need masks in schools to keep our kids safe.
 

#842
February 15, 2022
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🔥 Good morning, RVA: Fire, a bunch of bills, and BPOL

Good morning, RVA! It’s 28 °F, and as per all of 2022’s weather, the weekend snow was a disappointing let down. Today, though, you can expect highs in the 30s, so bundle up! Warmer weather returns on Wednesday.
 

Water cooler

I’m sure you’ve already seen it, but, on Friday night a three-alarm fire hit Fox Elementary in the Fan, destroying the roof and the second floor of the building. This drone footage will show you the extent of the damage. Fox students have today and tomorrow off and will move to virtual learning on Wednesday. I have a bunch of uncouth urbanist and political questions about what happens next that I’ll save for later, but, for now, you can donate money to help Fox students and staff through the RPS Education Foundation website (making sure to select “Fox Elementary Fire Response” from the dropdown).
 

Tangentially related, City Council will meet tonight to potentially discuss ORD. 2021–308, which, if passed, would give Richmond Public Schools the money to start the process of redesigning a replacement for George Wythe High School. There’s still an open and unresolved question of how big to build that replacement—for 1,600 or 2,000 students—and thus far City Council has been unwilling to appropriate any money at all until the School Board can get in alignment. Richmond Together has put together the best argument for why the City should move forward with the original, 2,000-student plans, and, if you’ve been wondering what all the hubbub was was about, this is the PDF you need to read this morning. Personally, I’m pretty convinced by the arguments that a 1,600-seat Wythe replacement could open on day one already at capacity—especially the arguments about planning for a future with a lower dropout rate among Richmond’s Latino students. From the paper: “It should be a given that RPS will build schools on the expectation that all racial and ethnic groups will attend and graduate at a rate comparable to the statewide average (just above 90%). Any analysis of Wythe’s capacity should note that at least 200 students are in effect ‘missing’ because of the high Latino dropout rate.” Anyway, I think there’s a good chance that Council will continue this paper again, but if after reading this PDF you want to contact your Councilmember in support of a 2,000-student George Wythe, you should do so this morning just in case they get down to business!
 

#341
February 14, 2022
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🧪 Good morning, RVA: No casino for Petersburg, lab schools, and Dock Street

Good morning, RVA! It’s 30 °F, and, what the heck!, this afternoon will spend some serious time in the mid 60s. Please get out there and enjoy two wonderful days in a row until winter weather moves in on Sunday, when you can expect temperatures in the 20s, rain, and snow. Let’s just say I’m…skeptical…about just how many businesses and schools will open on Monday morning.
 

Water cooler

Bad news bears for pro-casino Petersburgers: Chris Suarez at the Richmond Times-Dispatch reports that “A powerful state Senate committee killed a proposal on Thursday evening that would have allowed Petersburg residents to hold a referendum on hosting a casino in the city.” Of course, nothing is truly dead in the General Assembly until…well, until one of several confusing things happens, but certainly this split committee vote (a very bipartisan 9–7) doesn’t mean Sen. Morrissey’s mission is all dead, just mostly dead. And mostly dead is slightly alive. Suarez reports that the senator plans to “discuss the vote with the Democratic caucus and will try to revive the bill.” Do I think it’ll work? It’ll take a miracle; there’s just too much oomph behind the plan to revive Richmond’s casino instead.
 

Mel Leonor, also at the RTD, has a really clear and interesting report on the progress of the Governor’s plan to defund public schools in favor of standing up hundreds of charter schools across the Commonwealth. Sounds like the Virginia Senate isn’t having it, but is willing to consider creating some “lab schools” run by colleges and universities. Two keys from Senate Democrats that are sure to run afoul with the Governor’s team: These lab schools could not be run by private or for-profit colleges and they would “not be funded using local, state or federal per-pupil dollars.” These changes would defeat the primary purpose of Youngkin’s education platform—to defund public schools—and, honestly sounds kind of interesting? Henrico’s Del. VanValkenburg, who’s typically my go-to for state-level education stuff (and is dealing with an entirely different version of the bill in the House of Delegates), seems generally in favor of funding the lab schools that are allowed under current Virginia law. I’d like to learn more!
 

#236
February 11, 2022
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🗺 Good morning, RVA: Statements of identity, drawing maps, and unionizing City Hall

Good morning, RVA! It’s 36 °F, and today looks beautiful. Expect highs near 60 and sunshine and people outside doing their thing. This great, unseasonable weather continue through Saturday, after which NBC12’s Andrew Freiden says we could see some snow on Sunday.
 

Water cooler

Graham Moomaw at the Virginia Mercury has some more reporting on the demise of any and all future mask requirements in our public schools. There are some absolutely wild quotes from legislators in this piece, like:
 

  • “We are telling parents what to do…and as a legislator, I just don’t believe that I have the audacity to tell them what they can do and they cannot do.” — Sen. Joe Morrissey, Democrat
  • “The truth here is that the only mitigation that actually works is the vaccine.” — Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant, Republican (not at all true, by the way)
  • I don’t have a doctorate in medicine…but I do have a doctorate in common sense." — Sen. Chap Petersen, Democrat (sponsor of this bill)
#383
February 10, 2022
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